Trading Week Ahead: Geopolitical Risks, PMIs and UK Retail Sales
Ongoing geopolitical tensions have reignited fears over a potential rise in inflation, while corporate earnings keep Carnival Corp's unhedged fuel exposure and GameStop's quarterly results in the spotlight. With central banks closely monitoring the situation, traders face a highly volatile environment across major asset classes.
Focus now shifts to PMIs in Europe and the US, alongside critical UK retail data, to gauge the true economic fallout and test consumer resilience.
👉 Eurozone PMI
Manufacturing is forecast to slip into contraction at 49.5, with services cooling to 50.8. A weak print would confirm stagflation fears and pressure the euro. A surprise beat could trigger a brief risk-on rally.
👉 US PMI
The services sector is forecast unchanged at 51.7. A robust print reinforces the higher-for-longer rate narrative and supports the dollar. A softer print may fuel recession fears and accelerate safe haven flows.
👉 UK Retail Sales
A critical reality check for the British economy. Strong consumer spending will likely provide late-week support for the pound. A weak report could trigger a sharp risk-off sell-off in sterling.
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Date
Time
Instrument
Event
Tuesday, Mar. 24
German PMI
Eurozone PMI
PMI
Wednesday, Mar. 25
CPI
CPI
Thursday, Mar. 26
BoJ Core CPI
Friday, Mar. 27
Retail Sales
*All times in the table are in GMT+1
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