Trading Week Ahead: FOMC and PCE in Focus
With US markets closed on Monday for a holiday, attention turns to a packed week of economic data and earnings. A cooler-than-expected inflation reading has revived hopes for a Fed rate cut as early as June, while AI-related concerns continue to weigh on tech. This week’s PCE inflation and GDP figures could provide a crucial update for policymakers and markets alike, alongside key corporate results from Walmart, Palo Alto Networks, and others.
👉 FOMC Meeting Minutes
On Wednesday evening, the minutes will offer a deeper look into the Fed’s January decision. Any signs of disagreement or concern around the inflation outlook could move yields and shift dollar sentiment.
👉 US GDP
Q4 growth is forecast to be revised down to 2.8% from the initial 4.4%. A downgrade may weigh on the soft-landing narrative and support risk assets. A stronger revision would likely boost the dollar.
👉 Core PCE Price Index
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge is expected to rise 0.3%, up from 0.2% previously. A hotter print could challenge dovish expectations and lift the dollar. A soft number would support equities and cut pricing.
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Date
Time
Instrument
Event
Tuesday, Feb. 17
Claimant Count Change
German CPI
CPI
Wednesday, Feb. 18
CPI
FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thursday, Feb. 19
Pending Home Sales
Friday, Feb. 20
Retail Sales
PMI
Retail Sales
GDP
Core PCE Price Index
PMI
New Home Sales
*All times in the table are in GMT+1
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