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Trading Week Ahead FOMC and PCE in Focus en
Trading Week Ahead

Trading Week Ahead: FOMC and PCE in Focus

With US markets closed on Monday for a holiday, attention turns to a packed week of economic data and earnings. A cooler-than-expected inflation reading has revived hopes for a Fed rate cut as early as June, while AI-related concerns continue to weigh on tech. This week’s PCE inflation and GDP figures could provide a crucial update for policymakers and markets alike, alongside key corporate results from Walmart, Palo Alto Networks, and others.

👉 FOMC Meeting Minutes
On Wednesday evening, the minutes will offer a deeper look into the Fed’s January decision. Any signs of disagreement or concern around the inflation outlook could move yields and shift dollar sentiment.

👉 US GDP
Q4 growth is forecast to be revised down to 2.8% from the initial 4.4%. A downgrade may weigh on the soft-landing narrative and support risk assets. A stronger revision would likely boost the dollar.

👉 Core PCE Price Index
The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge is expected to rise 0.3%, up from 0.2% previously. A hotter print could challenge dovish expectations and lift the dollar. A soft number would support equities and cut pricing.

Tuesday, Feb. 17
Time
8:00 AM
Instrument
GBP
GBP
Event Claimant Count Change
Time
8:00 AM
Instrument
EUR
EUR
Event German CPI
Time
2:30 PM
Instrument
CAD
CAD
Event CPI
Wednesday, Feb. 18
Time
8:00 AM
Instrument
GBP
GBP
Event CPI
Time
8:00 PM
Instrument
USD
USD
Event FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thursday, Feb. 19
Time
4:00 PM
Instrument
USD
USD
Event Pending Home Sales
Friday, Feb. 20
Time
8:00 AM
Instrument
GBP
GBP
Event Retail Sales
Time
10:30 AM
Instrument
GBP
GBP
Event PMI
Time
2:30 PM
Instrument
CAD
CAD
Event Retail Sales
Time
2:30 PM
Instrument
USD
USD
Event GDP
Time
2:30 PM
Instrument
USD
USD
Event Core PCE Price Index
Time
3:45 PM
Instrument
USD
USD
Event PMI
Time
4:00 PM
Instrument
USD
USD
Event New Home Sales

*All times in the table are in GMT+1


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