Trading Week Ahead: Geopolitical Volatility
Geopolitical tensions continue to drive volatility across energy and safe-haven assets. This week, the focus shifts to whether a cooling US economy can justify a dovish Fed stance. With US CPI, PCE and JOLTS data ahead, traders are bracing for sharp moves across the dollar and the yield curve.
👉 US CPI
Headline MoM inflation is forecast to cool to 0.2% from a previous 0.3% rise. A hot print forces hawkish repricing and crushes duration, while a surprise miss could lift equities and weigh on the dollar.
👉 US Core PCE
The Fed’s primary inflation gauge is forecast unchanged at 0.4% MoM. Any deviation will reset the yield curve and USD pairs instantly. A hotter print bolsters the higher-for-longer narrative and caps risk-on sentiment.
👉 JOLTS Job Openings
Labour demand remains a wildcard, with vacancies forecast to rebound to 6.840M from 6.542M. A cooling figure shifts the equity bias toward recession risk, whereas a resilient print keeps the greenback supported.
00:50
JPY
Final GDP
08:00
EUR
German CPI
13:30
USD
US CPI
13:30
USD
Unemployment Claims
08:00
GBP
UK GDP
13:30
CAD
Unemployment Rate
13:30
USD
US Core PCE
13:30
USD
US GDP
15:00
USD
JOLTS Job Openings
| Date | Time | Instrument | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 |
00:50 |
JPY
|
Final GDP |
| 11/03/26 |
08:00 |
EUR
|
German CPI |
|
13:30 |
USD
|
US CPI | |
| 12/03/26 |
13:30 |
USD
|
Unemployment Claims |
| 13/03/26 |
08:00 |
GBP
|
UK GDP |
|
13:30 |
CAD
|
Unemployment Rate | |
|
USD
|
US Core PCE | ||
|
USD
|
US GDP | ||
|
15:00 |
USD
|
JOLTS Job Openings |
*All times in the table are in GMT+1
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