{"id":667272,"date":"2025-09-15T09:23:39","date_gmt":"2025-09-15T07:23:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=667272"},"modified":"2025-09-15T13:37:47","modified_gmt":"2025-09-15T11:37:47","slug":"trading-week-ahead-can-eurusd-extend-its-bullish-run","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-can-eurusd-extend-its-bullish-run\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: Can EURUSD Extend Its Bullish Run?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Big moves could be ahead as the Fed prepares to cut rates<\/strong>, US retail sales<\/strong> lose steam and the Bank of England<\/strong> faces pressure to shift tone. Traders should stay alert, as key decisions this week could shake the dollar, move yields and spark fresh volatility.
\n<\/em>\ud83d\udc49<\/span>Looking to position ahead of the key moves? Here\u2019s what you need to know.<\/p>\n

\u2022 US Retail Sales
\n<\/strong>Retail sales are forecast to rise by 0.2% in August, down from a 0.5% increase in July, pointing to a potential loss of consumer momentum. While the expected figure aligns with a soft-landing scenario, any downside surprise could strengthen the case for future Fed rate cuts and weigh on the dollar. Conversely, a stronger print may dampen dovish expectations and lift yields.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Fed Interest Rate Decision
\n<\/strong>The highlight of the week comes Wednesday with the Fed\u2019s rate decision. Markets widely expect a 25 bps rate cut, though a surprise 50 bps move isn\u2019t entirely off the table. A standard cut may trigger a \u201csell the news\u201d reaction, as much of it is already priced in. However, if Chair Powell signals openness to further easing, the dollar could weaken while risk assets rally. Conversely, a hawkish tone suggesting a one-and-done cut may lift the USD and weigh on equities and bonds.<\/p>\n

\u2022 BoE Interest Rate Decision<\/strong>
\nThe Bank of England is expected to keep rates steady at 4.00% on Thursday, maintaining its cautious stance amid persistent inflation concerns. While no change is the consensus, traders will focus on any dovish shift in tone or vote split that could signal a cut later this year. Sterling could see sharp moves if policymakers hint at softening their policy stance, particularly amid recent weak UK data.<\/p>\n

\n \n \n \n \n
Date<\/th>\n Time<\/th>\n Instrument<\/th>\n Event<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n
Tuesday, Sep. 16<\/td>2:30 PM<\/span><\/td>\"CAD\"<\/span>CAD<\/span><\/td>CPI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Retail Sales<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
Wednesday, Sep. 17<\/td>8:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"GBP\"<\/span>GBP<\/span><\/td>CPI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
11:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"EUR\"<\/span>EUR<\/span><\/td>CPI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
3:45 PM<\/span><\/td>\"CAD\"<\/span>CAD<\/span><\/td>BOC Rate Statement<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
8:00 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Fed Interest Rate Decision<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
8:30 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>FOMC Press Conference<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
Thursday, Sep. 18<\/td>1:00 PM<\/span><\/td>\"GBP\"<\/span>GBP<\/span><\/td>BoE Interest Rate Decision<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
Friday, Sep. 19<\/td>5:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"JPY\"<\/span>JPY<\/span><\/td>BoJ Interest Rate Decision<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
8:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"GBP\"<\/span>GBP<\/span><\/td>Retail Sales<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
9:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"EUR\"<\/span>EUR<\/span><\/td>German PPI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
2:30 PM<\/span><\/td>\"CAD\"<\/span>CAD<\/span><\/td>Retail Sales<\/span><\/td><\/tr> <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n<\/div><\/p>\n

*All times in the table are in GMT+2<\/em><\/p>\n

Technical Analysis with FVG Strategy<\/h2>\n

This strategy combines the use of the\u00a020-<\/strong>\u00a0and\u00a050-period\u00a0EMA<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0to assess market direction alongside the\u00a0Fair Value Gap (FVG)<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0to pinpoint zones of price inefficiency. These gaps, which emerge during sharp market moves, often highlight strong potential areas for trade entries and exits. The method is suitable for instruments like\u00a0EURUSD<\/strong>,\u00a0GBPJPY<\/strong>,\u00a0US30<\/strong>, and\u00a0XAUUSD<\/strong>, offering insights into recent market behaviour and identifying possible trading setups.<\/p>\n

Last Week\u2019s Opportunities<\/h2>\n

EURUSD<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context:<\/strong> The euro maintains a bullish structure, trading above the 20 and 50 EMA and reacting positively to support. Liquidity above remains an attractive target together with Monday\u2019s FVG long.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Preferred):<\/strong> Continuation into the marked liquidity zone with the FVG target in play.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Alternative):<\/strong> A daily close below the support zone would signal a shift to bearish structure with the next support visible on the chart.<\/p>\n

FVG Setup:<\/strong> Monday\u2019s bullish FVG remains active.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

XAUUSD<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context:<\/strong> Gold is rotating near all-time highs, suggesting temporary consolidation without clear signs of trend reversal.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Preferred):<\/strong> A continuation higher with potential for a new all-time high.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Alternative):<\/strong> A daily close below support would confirm a trend shift with the potential to fill long gaps.<\/p>\n

FVG Setup:<\/strong> Last Tuesday\u2019s FVG setup remains in play.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

US30<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context:<\/strong> After consolidating in a range last week, price broke to a new all-time high on Thursday, followed by a bearish inside bar on Friday.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Preferred):<\/strong> Long continuation remains favoured, with the FVG pointing to a 2:1 RRR target.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Alternative):<\/strong> A return to support is possible if the Friday inside bar triggers follow-through selling.<\/p>\n

\u00a0FVG Setup:<\/strong> No valid FVG formed this week.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Weekly Market Outlook<\/h2>\n

GBPJPY<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context:<\/strong> GBPJPY holds a bullish bias but momentum has been muted, with price still above both EMAs.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Preferred):<\/strong> A breakout of the range to the upside remains the main scenario.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Alternative):<\/strong> A move below the range could target two swing lows and extend toward support where buyers may step in again.<\/p>\n

FVG Setup:<\/strong> No valid FVG formed this week, highlighting the lack of aggressive moves.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

All information provided on this site is intended solely for educational purposes related to trading on financial markets and does not serve in any way as a specific investment recommendation, business recommendation, investment opportunity analysis, or similar general recommendation regarding the trading of investment instruments. FTMO only provides services of simulated trading and educational tools for traders.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Big moves could be ahead as the Fed prepares to cut rates, US retail sales lose steam and the Bank of England faces pressure to shift tone. Traders should stay alert, as key decisions this week could shake the dollar, move yields and spark fresh volatility. \ud83d\udc49Looking to position ahead of the key moves? Here\u2019s […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":667318,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[89210],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-667272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trading-week-ahead"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTrading Week Ahead: Can EURUSD Extend Its Bullish Run? | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"EURUSD holds bullish momentum above EMAs with liquidity targets in play, as Fed cuts, US retail sales and BoE decision shape market volatility.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-can-eurusd-extend-its-bullish-run\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trading Week Ahead: Can EURUSD Extend Its Bullish Run?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"EURUSD holds bullish momentum above EMAs with liquidity targets in play, as Fed cuts, US retail sales and BoE decision shape market volatility.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-can-eurusd-extend-its-bullish-run\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"FTMO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/ftmocom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-09-15T07:23:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-09-15T11:37:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Trading-Week-Ahead-Can-EURUSD-Extend-Its-Bullish-Run-EN.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"628\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-can-eurusd-extend-its-bullish-run\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-can-eurusd-extend-its-bullish-run\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"thlavac\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/es\/#\/schema\/person\/490eb9d6ef63510c1366a5f413d107f4\"},\"headline\":\"Trading Week Ahead: Can EURUSD Extend Its Bullish Run?\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-09-15T07:23:39+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-09-15T11:37:47+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-can-eurusd-extend-its-bullish-run\/\"},\"wordCount\":853,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/es\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-can-eurusd-extend-its-bullish-run\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Trading-Week-Ahead-Can-EURUSD-Extend-Its-Bullish-Run-EN.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Trading Week Ahead\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-can-eurusd-extend-its-bullish-run\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-can-eurusd-extend-its-bullish-run\/\",\"name\":\"Trading Week Ahead: Can EURUSD Extend Its Bullish Run? 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