{"id":664956,"date":"2025-08-18T12:41:46","date_gmt":"2025-08-18T10:41:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=664956"},"modified":"2025-08-18T12:46:54","modified_gmt":"2025-08-18T10:46:54","slug":"trading-week-ahead-spot-the-next-big-move-with-fvg-strategy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-spot-the-next-big-move-with-fvg-strategy\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: Spot the Next Big Move with FVG Strategy"},"content":{"rendered":"

A high-stakes week is ahead as markets brace for a trio of key events:<\/strong> Fed Chair Powell\u2019s speech, the release of FOMC meeting minutes, and fresh Flash PMI data. Each event carries the potential to stir volatility across markets<\/strong>. Dive in for a full breakdown of how these events could reshape rate expectations and market sentiment.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u2022 FOMC Minutes<\/strong>
\nThe latest FOMC minutes will offer insight into the Fed\u2019s policy mindset. Markets will look for signs of growing concern over economic softness or an openness to cutting rates in the near term. Any dovish signal could boost expectations for easing and trigger moves in the bond and FX markets.<\/p>\n

\u2022 US Flash\u00a0PMIs<\/strong>
\nThursday\u2019s Flash PMIs will provide a first look at August\u2019s business activity. Manufacturing PMI is expected to tick up slightly from 49.8 to 49.9, still signalling contraction. Meanwhile, Services PMI is forecast to drop sharply from 55.7 to 53.3, pointing to a slowdown in the services-driven sector. A weaker-than-expected print may intensify concerns over economic momentum and increase pressure on the Fed to consider rate cuts.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Powell Speaks<\/strong>
\nAll eyes will be on Friday as Fed Chair Jerome Powell takes the stage. Traders will dissect every word for clues on rate direction. A dovish tilt could weaken the US dollar, lower Treasury yields, and lift risk assets like equities and gold.<\/p>\n

\n \n \n \n \n
Date<\/th>\n Time<\/th>\n Instrument<\/th>\n Event<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n
Tuesday, Aug. 19<\/td>2:30 PM<\/span><\/td>\"CAD\"<\/span>CAD<\/span><\/td>CPI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
Wednesday, Aug. 20<\/td>4:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"NZD\"<\/span>NZD<\/span><\/td>Official Cash Rate<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
8:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"GBP\"<\/span>GBP<\/span><\/td>CPI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
11:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"EUR\"<\/span>EUR<\/span><\/td>CPI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
8:00 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>FOMC Meeting Minutes<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
Thursday, Aug. 21<\/td>10:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"EUR\"<\/span>EUR<\/span><\/td>Flash Manufacturing, Services PMI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
10:30 AM<\/span><\/td>\"GBP\"<\/span>GBP<\/span><\/td>Flash Manufacturing, Services PMI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
2:30 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Unemployment Claims<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
3:45 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Flash Manufacturing, Services PMI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
4:00 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Existing Home Sales<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
Friday, Aug. 22<\/td>8:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"GBP\"<\/span>GBP<\/span><\/td>Retail Sales<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
\"EUR\"<\/span>EUR<\/span><\/td>German GDP<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
2:30 PM<\/span><\/td>\"CAD\"<\/span>CAD<\/span><\/td>Retail Sales<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
4:00 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Fed Chair Powell Speaks<\/span><\/td><\/tr> <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n<\/div><\/p>\n

*All times in the table are in GMT+2<\/em><\/p>\n

Technical Analysis with FVG Strategy<\/h2>\n

This technical method combines the 20- and 50-period EMAs<\/a><\/strong> to identify market direction, paired with the Fair Value Gap (FVG)<\/a><\/strong> concept \u2013 price imbalances caused by strong market momentum that highlight potential entry and exit zones. The strategy is applicable to instruments like EURUSD<\/strong>, GBPJPY<\/strong>, US30<\/strong>, and XAUUSD<\/strong>, offering a perspective on trading opportunities from both the previous and current weeks.<\/p>\n

Opportunities to Watch This Week<\/h2>\n

US30<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context:<\/strong> After last week\u2019s shift into a bullish structure, price has been holding near the highs. Liquidity was taken below the trendline, and the market continues to respect upside momentum.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Preferred):<\/strong> Continuation higher from the FVG zone in line with the current structure. Buyers may target further swing levels.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Alternative):<\/strong> A decline following Thursday\u2019s liquidity grab could drive price back into the lower FVG, where buyers may look for renewed entries.<\/p>\n

Setup:<\/strong> A new FVG has formed this week in the direction of the main trend, offering potential for continuation trades.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Last Week\u2019s Opportunities<\/h2>\n

XAUUSD<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context:<\/strong> Gold remains trapped in a range, though last week sellers drove an aggressive move that carved out an FVG. Price is consolidating around the 20 and 50 EMAs, reflecting uncertainty as both sides compete for control.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Preferred):<\/strong> The dominant expectation is for sellers to extend pressure from the FVG zone. A breakdown towards the lower edge of the structure would confirm bearish intent, while resistance overhead is likely to cap any short-lived rallies.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Alternative):<\/strong> If buyers manage to defend the FVG, price could reclaim higher ground and sweep liquidity above recent swing levels. This would open the door for a short-term recovery.<\/p>\n

Setup:<\/strong> Last week\u2019s FVG remains the key pivot. How price reacts here will decide whether gold develops a deeper bearish leg or attempts a rebound.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

GBPJPY<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context: <\/strong>The market delivered a strong rally over the past two weeks, fuelled by aggressive buying. However, after last week\u2019s liquidity sweep, the pace of upside momentum began to ease. The broader structure remains bullish, but signs of slowing strength are visible.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Preferred): <\/strong>Continuation higher is still the case, with buyers aiming for new swing highs.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Alternative): <\/strong>A correction into lower FVG zones cannot be ruled out. Such a retracement would refresh the structure and provide better-priced entries for buyers before another push upward.<\/p>\n

Setup: <\/strong>Last week\u2019s FVG was invalidated with a stop loss, yet the overall bias stays bullish.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

EURUSD<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context: <\/strong>EURUSD continues to trade in a bullish structure, pressing against resistance at the upper boundary of a large counter-move FVG. Despite supply pressure, buyers maintain control, and the pair remains well-supported by broader momentum.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Preferred): <\/strong>A breakout above resistance would confirm strength, opening the way for continuation into the next swing high and attracting further bullish flow.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Alternative): <\/strong>Rejection from this level could trigger a pullback into the base of the FVG, where support would be tested. Such a move would not undermine the broader uptrend but would offer buyers new opportunities.<\/p>\n

Setup: <\/strong>Last week\u2019s FVG reached its target, validating the bullish outlook. With momentum intact, EURUSD stays positioned for additional upside opportunities.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

All information provided on this site is intended solely for educational purposes related to trading on financial markets and does not serve in any way as a specific investment recommendation, business recommendation, investment opportunity analysis, or similar general recommendation regarding the trading of investment instruments. FTMO only provides services of simulated trading and educational tools for traders.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A high-stakes week is ahead as markets brace for a trio of key events: Fed Chair Powell\u2019s speech, the release of FOMC meeting minutes, and fresh Flash PMI data. Each event carries the potential to stir volatility across markets. Dive in for a full breakdown of how these events could reshape rate expectations and market […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":665005,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[89210],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-664956","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trading-week-ahead"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTrading Week Ahead: Spot the Next Big Move with FVG Strategy | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"High-stakes week with Powell, FOMC and PMI in focus. 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