{"id":663301,"date":"2025-07-21T13:20:29","date_gmt":"2025-07-21T11:20:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=663301"},"modified":"2025-07-21T13:49:19","modified_gmt":"2025-07-21T11:49:19","slug":"trading-week-ahead-powells-speech-flash-pmis-durable-goods","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-powells-speech-flash-pmis-durable-goods\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: Powell\u2019s Speech, Flash PMIs & Durable Goods"},"content":{"rendered":"

The week ahead could be a game-changer for USD traders, with three high-impact events poised to influence market direction. Fed Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s speech<\/strong> may set the tone for future policy direction, while Flash PMIs<\/strong> offer a real-time read on business activity. Meanwhile, Durable Goods Orders<\/strong> may expose either underlying weakness or surprising strength in the US manufacturing sector.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s break down what\u2019s on the radar and how each release may affect the dollar, Treasury yields, and broader risk sentiment.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Fed Chair Powell Speaks
\n<\/strong>Markets will be laser-focused on Powell\u2019s remarks for clues on forward guidance. A dovish tone may reignite risk appetite and pressure the dollar, while a more hawkish stance could lift yields and push the USD higher.<\/p>\n

\u2022 US Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI
\n<\/strong>Scheduled for Thursday, the Manufacturing PMI is expected to ease slightly to 52.7 from 52.9, while the Services PMI may tick up to 53.0 from 52.9. Although both remain in expansion territory, any surprises could shift market expectations for Fed policy, sparking volatility across USD pairs and equities.<\/p>\n

\u2022 Durable Goods Orders
\n<\/strong>Friday\u2019s report might deliver the biggest shock. Economists project a -10.3% pullback following June\u2019s unexpected 16.4% surge. A steep drop may signal weakening business investment momentum, strengthening the case for a more dovish monetary stance and weighing on the dollar.<\/p>\n

\n \n \n \n \n
Date<\/th>\n Time<\/th>\n Instrument<\/th>\n Event<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n
Tuesday, Jul. 22<\/td>2:30 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Fed Chair Powell Speaks<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
Wednesday, Jul. 23<\/td>4:00 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Existing Home Sales<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
Thursday, Jul. 24<\/td>10:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"EUR\"<\/span>EUR<\/span><\/td>Flash Manufacturing, Services PMI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
10:30 AM<\/span><\/td>\"GBP\"<\/span>GBP<\/span><\/td>Flash Manufacturing, Services PMI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
2:15 PM<\/span><\/td>\"EUR\"<\/span>EUR<\/span><\/td>Monetary Policy Statement<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
2:30 PM<\/span><\/td>\"CAD\"<\/span>CAD<\/span><\/td>Retail Sales<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Unemployment Claims<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
2:45 PM<\/span><\/td>\"EUR\"<\/span>EUR<\/span><\/td>ECB Press Conference<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
3:45 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Flash Manufacturing, Services PMI<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
4:00 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>New Home Sales<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
Friday, Jul. 25<\/td>8:00 AM<\/span><\/td>\"GBP\"<\/span>GBP<\/span><\/td>Retail Sales<\/span><\/td><\/tr>
2:30 PM<\/span><\/td>\"USD\"<\/span>USD<\/span><\/td>Durable Goods Orders<\/span><\/td><\/tr> <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n<\/div><\/p>\n

*All times in the table are in GMT+2<\/em><\/p>\n

Technical Analysis with FVG Strategy<\/h2>\n

This trading strategy uses the EMA<\/a> 20<\/strong> and EMA 50<\/strong> to evaluate market trends and the Fair Value Gap (FVG)<\/a><\/strong> to identify areas of price imbalance. These imbalances, caused by rapid price movements, often indicate high-probability entry and exit points. This approach can be applied to currency pairs such as EURUSD<\/strong> and GBPJPY<\/strong>, as well as US30 <\/strong>and XAUUSD<\/strong>, and provides a review of recent price action and potential trading opportunities.<\/p>\n

Weekly Market Outlook<\/h2>\n

EURUSD<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context:<\/strong> EURUSD continues to show signs of weakness after a strong prior rally. The pair is trading below the 20 EMA, indicating persistent bearish momentum, yet currently holding above a support zone aligned with a previous FVG, suggesting short-term indecision.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Preferred):<\/strong> A breakdown below the current support could trigger a move toward the next liquidity zone, filling gaps left behind during the previous bullish move.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Alternative):<\/strong> If the current support holds, buyers may target a sweep of the nearest swing high as sentiment stabilises.<\/p>\n

Setup:<\/strong> No FVG setup formed this or last week. Market structure leans bearish.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

GBPJPY<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context:<\/strong> GBPJPY remains in a strong uptrend, consistently printing higher highs without testing the 20 EMA. Despite a bearish open on Monday, price action stays bullish and technically intact.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Preferred):<\/strong> The active FVG long setup from 8 July remains in play, with potential for further gains as price respects trend structure.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Alternative):<\/strong> A short-term dip to the 20 EMA could offer a re-entry point for buyers if support holds.<\/p>\n

Setup:<\/strong> No new FVG setups formed this or last week. The 8 July FVG setup is active.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

US30<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context:<\/strong> The Dow Jones index is trading within a defined range, reacting to both resistance and support. A recent lower low hints at potential bearish pressure building.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Preferred):<\/strong> A full candle close below the 20 EMA and current support could initiate a downside move to fill liquidity gaps via untested FVGs.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Alternative):<\/strong> A rejection at support and bullish continuation within the range could lead to a liquidity grab near the range highs.<\/p>\n

Setup:<\/strong> No new FVG setup was formed this or last week. The FVG from 8 July reached its final target (support).<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Last Week\u2019s Opportunities<\/h2>\n

XAUUSD<\/span><\/h3>\n

Market Context:<\/strong> Gold remains range-bound, consolidating as the market prepares for a larger directional move. Price action is currently neutral, with no clear breakout yet.<\/p>\n

Bullish Scenario (Preferred):<\/strong> A breakout above resistance could lead to a liquidity sweep toward the marked swing high.<\/p>\n

Bearish Scenario (Alternative):<\/strong> A candle close below both the 20 and 50 EMAs could prompt a move lower, targeting swing lows for liquidity.<\/p>\n

Setup:<\/strong> A bearish FVG setup formed last week but was stopped out. No valid FVG setup was formed this week.<\/p>\n

\"week<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

All information provided on this site is intended solely for educational purposes related to trading on financial markets and does not serve in any way as a specific investment recommendation, business recommendation, investment opportunity analysis or similar general recommendation regarding the trading of investment instruments. FTMO only provides services of simulated trading and educational tools for traders. The information on this site is not directed at residents in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local laws or regulations. FTMO companies do not act as a broker and do not accept any deposits. The offered technical solution for the FTMO platforms and data feed is powered by liquidity providers.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The week ahead could be a game-changer for USD traders, with three high-impact events poised to influence market direction. Fed Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s speech may set the tone for future policy direction, while Flash PMIs offer a real-time read on business activity. Meanwhile, Durable Goods Orders may expose either underlying weakness or surprising strength in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":663344,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[89210],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-663301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trading-week-ahead"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTrading Week Ahead: Powell\u2019s Speech, Flash PMIs & Durable Goods | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Major events align with EMA\/FVG strategy setups\u2014Powell, PMIs, and orders may spark key moves across FX, indices, and gold.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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