{"id":662665,"date":"2025-07-14T12:02:52","date_gmt":"2025-07-14T10:02:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=662665"},"modified":"2025-07-14T12:43:20","modified_gmt":"2025-07-14T10:43:20","slug":"trading-week-ahead-spotlight-on-us-inflation-and-consumer-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/en\/trading-week-ahead-spotlight-on-us-inflation-and-consumer-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: Spotlight on US Inflation and Consumer Data"},"content":{"rendered":"
Traders are entering the new week with heightened attention on inflation indicators and the resilience of the US consumer. At the forefront is the US Consumer Price Index (CPI)<\/strong>, which holds the potential to shift expectations around the Federal Reserve\u2019s next policy moves. Alongside that, the Producer Price Index (PPI)<\/strong> and Retail Sales<\/strong> data will offer deeper insights into inflation pressures and household demand. <\/em><\/p>\n Expect heightened volatility across the US dollar, Treasury yields, and equities\u2014here\u2019s what to watch this week:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n \u2022 US Consumer Price Index (CPI)<\/strong> \u2022 US Producer Price Index (PPI)<\/strong> \u2022 US Retail Sales<\/strong>
\nMarkets anticipate a pickup in headline CPI to 0.3% month-on-month, up from 0.1% previously. A hotter-than-expected figure could push Fed rate cuts further out, likely boosting Treasury yields and the US dollar. On the other hand, a softer print might revive dovish sentiment and support risk assets, particularly equities.<\/p>\n
\nOften seen as a leading indicator for CPI, PPI will be under close scrutiny. An upside surprise may reinforce inflation concerns and strengthen the dollar. Conversely, a subdued result could amplify rate-cut hopes and ease policy pressure.<\/p>\n
\nAfter a steep decline of -0.9% in the prior release, Retail Sales are expected to rebound modestly to 0.2% m\/m. A strong showing would reinforce the narrative of economic resilience and reduce the urgency for rate cuts. However, another disappointing print could stoke fears of consumer fatigue, potentially weighing on market sentiment.<\/p>\n