Statistische App – Durchbruch & Scheitern

Diese Statistik analysiert Marktsituation wo DAX innerhalb des Bereichs des vorigen Tages öffnet und in der ersten Handelsstunde ausserhalb des Bereichs des vorigen Tages schliesst. Wenn solche Situation entsteht erwarten wir, dass DAX wahrscheinlich in den Bereich des vorigen Tages umkehrt.

Wann diese Statistik vorkommt:

  • DAX Instrument
  • 1H Zeitrahmen
  • Erste 1H Kerze schliesst über dem High oder unter dem Low des vorigen Tages

Diese Statistik hat folgende Spalten:

Valid:

  • Yes: The statistic is první valid for today. The price opened inside the previous day range and the first 1H candle closed either above high or below low of the previous day range.
  • No: The statistic is not valid for today.

Type:

  • Short: close below the previous day low. First 1H candle is bearish.
  • Long: close above the previous day high. First 1H candle is bullish.

Price test:

  • 12 442: marks the high of a previous day where we could target our trades. In case of the Type Short, the price would mark the low of a previous day.

Probability:

  • Percentage of probability when the price historically retested the value from the previous column.

Statistics use

In case of a situation where we can apply the “Breakout & Failure” statistic, it is wise not to trade in the direction of the first 1H candle. It is logical to wait for a slowdown and then target the high of a previous day. In case of a Short type of this statistic, it is logical to target the low of a previous day.