{"id":646786,"date":"2024-12-13T14:40:52","date_gmt":"2024-12-13T13:40:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=646786"},"modified":"2024-12-13T14:50:36","modified_gmt":"2024-12-13T13:50:36","slug":"kdy-bude-bitcoin-na-200-000-dolarech","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/kdy-bude-bitcoin-na-200-000-dolarech\/","title":{"rendered":"Kdy bude bitcoin na 200 000 dolarech?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Je nepsan\u00fdm pravidlem, \u017ee jakmile n\u011bjak\u00e9 investi\u010dn\u00ed aktivum p\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eitou psychologickou hranici, investo\u0159i na trz\u00edch za\u010dnou spekulovat o tom, kdy padne dal\u0161\u00ed meta. Podobn\u00e9 spekulace nelze br\u00e1t v\u017edy \u00fapln\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, ale na druhou stranu nen\u00ed od v\u011bci je sledovat.<\/em><\/p>\n

P\u0159edpov\u011bdi syna nov\u011b zvolen\u00e9ho prezidenta USA Donalda Trumpa o tom, \u017ee miluje bitcoin a \u017ee jeho cena d\u00edky zvolen\u00ed nejv\u00edce \u201epro-crypto\u201c prezidenta v historii USA poroste na hodnotu 1 milionu dolar\u016f, nebo \u017ee se USA d\u00edky tomu stanou sv\u011btov\u00fdm centrem kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9ho trhu, samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nem\u016f\u017eeme br\u00e1t v\u00e1\u017en\u011b. A to p\u0159esto, \u017ee zvolen\u00ed Donalda Trumpa prezidentem bylo jedn\u00edm z nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch hnac\u00edch motor\u016f v r\u016fstu ceny na hodnotu 100 000 dolar\u016f a v\u00fd\u0161e.<\/p>\n

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Opatrn\u00ed investo\u0159i by podobn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy mohli br\u00e1t sp\u00ed\u0161e jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00a0nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k\u00a0propadu ceny, co\u017e je ve sv\u011bt\u011b investic b\u011b\u017en\u00e9. V\u017edy, kdy\u017e se objev\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00fd samozvan\u00fd expert na n\u011bjak aktivum a za\u010dne mluvit o r\u016fstu jeho ceny, je pot\u0159eba b\u00fdt ostra\u017eit\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin na 100K. Co d\u00e1l?<\/h2>\n

Cena bitcoinu v\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b p\u0159ekonala za\u010d\u00e1tkem prosince 2024 hladinu 100\u00a0000 dolar\u016f<\/a>, kter\u00e1 byla pom\u011brn\u011b dlouhou dobu pova\u017eov\u00e1na za svat\u00fd gr\u00e1l a pro mnoh\u00e9 pesimisty t\u011b\u017eko dosa\u017eiteln\u00fdm miln\u00edkem. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b existovalo dost optimist\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed o p\u0159ekon\u00e1n\u00ed stotis\u00edcov\u00e9 hranice nepochybovali a bylo i dost takov\u00fdch, kte\u0159\u00ed se to sna\u017eili prok\u00e1zat r\u016fzn\u00fdmi v\u00edce \u010di m\u00e9n\u011b sofistikovan\u00fdmi metodami.<\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u011b vypad\u00e1 nap\u0159\u00edklad graf od u\u017eivatele OxNobler, kter\u00fd je dokonce p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee 200 000 dolar\u016f za bitcoin je re\u00e1ln\u00fdm c\u00edlem, na kter\u00fd by cena podle jeho p\u0159edpov\u011bdi m\u011bla dos\u00e1hnout n\u011bkdy koncem roku 2025 (a zdaleka nen\u00ed s\u00e1m). Jeliko\u017e s t\u00edmto grafem p\u0159i\u0161el u\u017e koncem \u0159\u00edjna 2024, kdy\u017e byla cena pod 70 000 dolary, m\u016f\u017eeme mu zat\u00edm gratulovat.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Zdroj: Twitter<\/em><\/p>\n

Probl\u00e9m tohoto grafu v\u0161ak spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee si jej u\u017eivatel dost zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edm zp\u016fsobem upravil. Nejde ani tak o to, \u017ee by vyu\u017eil logaritmickou stupnici, ale stupnice toho grafu je hodn\u011b zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed. Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na druh\u00fd graf, kter\u00fd pou\u017eila Investopedia, propady vypadaj\u00ed mnohem v\u00edce hroziv\u011b ne\u017e na prvn\u00edm grafu.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Zdroj: Investopedia, TradingView<\/em><\/p>\n

Bude zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 sledovat, co se bude d\u00edt, jestli se na t\u011bch 200 000 dolar\u016f bitcoin skute\u010dn\u011b za rok vy\u0161plh\u00e1. V minulosti u\u017e zaznamenal n\u011bkolik se\u0161up\u016f, co\u017e je mimochodem hezky vid\u011bt na grafu, tak\u017ee se m\u016f\u017eeme t\u011b\u0161it. Zat\u00edm m\u016f\u017eeme spekulovat, co se bude d\u00edt na cen\u011b kolem 100 000 dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin st\u00e1le z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 pom\u011brn\u011b volatiln\u00edm aktivem, tak\u017ee po dosa\u017een\u00ed rekordu na cen\u011b p\u0159es 103\u00a0600 hned na druh\u00fd den klesl a\u017e na cenu kolem 92\u00a0000 dolar\u016f. Tento propad ale zat\u00edm vykazuje typick\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky vyb\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed zisk\u016f a cena se po p\u00e1r dnech op\u011bt dostala nad 100\u00a0000 dolar\u016f, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e pokles k\u00a0n\u00e1kupu vyu\u017eili i n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed z\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch institucion\u00e1ln\u00edch investor\u016f, jako je nap\u0159\u00edklad BlackRock (vlastn\u00ed bitcoiny v\u00a0hodnot\u011b kolem 50 miliard dolar\u016f), nebo MARA Holdings, kter\u00e1 pat\u0159\u00ed mezi nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed t\u011b\u017ea\u0159e bitcoinu.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d cena bitcoinu poroste?<\/h2>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b jednou zm\u00edn\u00edme Donalda Trumpa, kter\u00fd pomohl bitcoinu podruh\u00e9 t\u00edm, \u017ee za p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho \u0161\u00e9fa americk\u00e9 Komise pro cenn\u00e9 pap\u00edry (Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC) chce vyjmenovat Paula Atkinse, gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0159editele spole\u010dnosti Patomak Global Partners, jen\u017e je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za p\u0159\u00edznivce kryptom\u011bn. Trump nav\u00edc navrhuje, aby se bitcoin stal sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed strategick\u00fdch rezerv USA a sen\u00e1torka Cynthia Lummins si dokonce p\u0159edstavuje n\u00e1kup 200\u00a0000 bitcoin\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b po dobu nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch p\u011bti let.<\/p>\n

Ukazuje to trend, kter\u00fd pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude dom\u00e9nou pouze USA, \u017ee kryptom\u011bny, a zejm\u00e9na bitcoin, budou st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji a v\u00fdrazn\u011bji integrovan\u00e9 do tradi\u010dn\u00edch finan\u010dn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f. Omezen\u00ed regulace, kter\u00e1 byla jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch brzd p\u0159i \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed bitcoinu, by jen pomohlo tomu, aby se bitcoin pomalu zbavil n\u00e1lepky spekulativn\u00edho aktiva.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Prvn\u00edm takov\u00fdm krokem bylo leto\u0161n\u00ed zaveden\u00ed spotov\u00fdch ETF na bitcoin, kter\u00e9 dnes za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed velk\u00fd boom (tento t\u00fdden dos\u00e1hl kumulativn\u00ed \u010dist\u00fd p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstek v\u00a0nich objemu 500\u00a0000 bitcoin\u016f), dal\u0161\u00ed kroky pak budou n\u00e1sledovat. Z\u00a0bitcoinu se st\u00e1v\u00e1 finan\u010dn\u00ed aktivum, kter\u00e9 st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed k\u00a0investov\u00e1n\u00ed velc\u00ed institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed investo\u0159i, hedge fondy, banky, nebo dokonce penzijn\u00ed fondy. A \u010d\u00edm v\u00edce takov\u00fdch investor\u016f bude do bitcoinu investovat, t\u00edm stabiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt r\u016fst jeho ceny.<\/p>\n

R\u016fst nen\u00ed zaru\u010den<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin sice p\u0159ed lety vznikl jako alternativn\u00ed m\u011bna, ale p\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00e9m r\u016fstu ceny jej krom\u011b skute\u010dn\u00fdch zan\u00edcenc\u016f jen t\u011b\u017eko n\u011bkdo m\u016f\u017ee aktivn\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edvat k b\u011b\u017en\u00e9mu placen\u00ed. Na prvn\u00ed pohled toti\u017e ned\u00e1v\u00e1 logiku nakupovat si n\u011bco za m\u011bnu, jej\u00ed\u017e hodnota m\u016f\u017ee za p\u00e1r dn\u00ed b\u00fdt o deset procent vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed. Pro lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed s bitcoinem je\u0161t\u011b nena\u0161li spole\u010dnou \u0159e\u010d, jde nanejv\u00fd\u0161 o vysoce rizikov\u00e9 aktivum bez fundament\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1klad\u016f, jeho\u017e r\u016fst je ta\u017een siln\u00fdm \u201ehype\u201c v kr\u00e1tk\u00fdch obdob\u00edch, kdy jej chce vlastnit tak\u0159ka ka\u017ed\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Tato obdob\u00ed jsou pak n\u00e1sledov\u00e1na obdob\u00edmi propad\u016f a konsolidac\u00ed, n\u00e1sledovan\u00fdch obdob\u00edmi stagnace, kter\u00e9 mohou trvat pom\u011brn\u011b dlouhou dobu, jak je to vid\u011bt na druh\u00e9m obr\u00e1zku. Kdo nasko\u010dil do bitcoinu v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy st\u00e1l nap\u0159\u00edklad 40\u00a0000 dolar\u016f, si dnes m\u016f\u017ee gratulovat, kdo ale nakupoval na hodnot\u011b kolem 100\u00a0000 dolar\u016f, m\u011bl by b\u00fdt v\u00a0o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edch opatrn\u00fd. I p\u0159es v\u0161echen ten pozitivn\u00ed hype existuj\u00ed faktory, kter\u00e9 mohou r\u016fst ceny zbrzdit, nebo dokonce obr\u00e1tit, i kdy\u017e to v\u00a0prosinci 2024 m\u016f\u017ee vypadat jako nemo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee nap\u0159\u00edklad \u0161\u00e9f Fedu v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b mluv\u00ed o bitcoinu jako o konkurenci zlata, na rozd\u00edl od tohoto tradi\u010dn\u00edho uchovatele hodnoty m\u016f\u017ee bitcoinu u\u0161kodit sou\u010dasn\u00e1 politick\u00e1 nestabilita a vyhrocen\u00ed u\u017e tak napjat\u00e9 situace na Ukrajin\u011b, nebo na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/p>\n

Investo\u0159i se v\u00a0nejist\u00fdch dob\u00e1ch odvracej\u00ed od rizikov\u00fdch aktiv, kter\u00fdm bitcoin st\u00e1le z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 a obracej\u00ed se k\u00a0bezpe\u010dn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edstav\u016fm, mezi n\u011b\u017e je\u0161t\u011b st\u00e1le pa\u0159\u00ed nap\u0159\u00edklad zlato. Takov\u00e9 risk-off prost\u0159ed\u00ed by mohlo omezit r\u016fst ceny bitcoinu, nebo dokonce znamenat v\u00fdprodeje.<\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je, \u017ee n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed investo\u0159i pova\u017euj\u00ed za riziko tak\u00e9 pomalej\u0161\u00ed zav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed pro-krypto opat\u0159en\u00ed ze strany nov\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho prezidenta. Dne\u0161n\u00ed nad\u0161en\u00ed se tak lehce m\u016f\u017ee zm\u011bnit na zklam\u00e1n\u00ed, co\u017e by op\u011bt mohlo v\u00e9st ke korekci ceny bitcoinu.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0posledn\u00edch dnech se v\u00a0bitcoinov\u00e9 komunit\u011b rovn\u011b\u017e objevily zpr\u00e1vy o tom, \u017ee pro bitcoin by mohly b\u00fdt hrozbou kvantov\u00e9 po\u010d\u00edta\u010de. Spole\u010dnost Google toti\u017e ozn\u00e1mila uveden\u00ed nov\u00e9ho kvantov\u00e9ho po\u010d\u00edta\u010dov\u00e9ho \u010dipu Willow, jen\u017e je schopen prov\u00e1d\u011bt v\u00a0\u0159\u00e1du minut v\u00fdpo\u010dty, kter\u00e9 dne\u0161n\u00edm superpo\u010d\u00edta\u010d\u016fm mohou trvat n\u011bkolik let. \u0160ifrovac\u00ed schopnosti po\u010d\u00edta\u010d\u016f zalo\u017een\u00fdch na takov\u00fdch \u010dipech by mohly b\u00fdt hrozbou pro bezpe\u010dnost kryptom\u011bn. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed odborn\u00edci v\u0161ak tyto obavy pova\u017euj\u00ed za p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9, proto\u017ee na \u0161ifrov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 bitcoin, ani velmi velk\u00e1 rychlost procesoru Willow st\u00e1le nesta\u010d\u00ed. Je to tedy sp\u00ed\u0161e hudba dalek\u00e9 budoucnosti. Obchodujte bezpe\u010dn\u011b!<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Je nepsan\u00fdm pravidlem, \u017ee jakmile n\u011bjak\u00e9 investi\u010dn\u00ed aktivum p\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eitou psychologickou hranici, investo\u0159i na trz\u00edch za\u010dnou spekulovat o tom, kdy padne dal\u0161\u00ed meta. Podobn\u00e9 spekulace nelze br\u00e1t v\u017edy \u00fapln\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, ale na druhou stranu nen\u00ed od v\u011bci je sledovat. P\u0159edpov\u011bdi syna nov\u011b zvolen\u00e9ho prezidenta USA Donalda Trumpa o tom, \u017ee miluje bitcoin a \u017ee jeho […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":646956,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[89042],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-646786","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-instrumenty"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nKdy bude bitcoin na 200 000 dolarech? | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/kdy-bude-bitcoin-na-200-000-dolarech\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kdy bude bitcoin na 200 000 dolarech?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Je nepsan\u00fdm pravidlem, \u017ee jakmile n\u011bjak\u00e9 investi\u010dn\u00ed aktivum p\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eitou psychologickou hranici, investo\u0159i na trz\u00edch za\u010dnou spekulovat o tom, kdy padne dal\u0161\u00ed meta. Podobn\u00e9 spekulace nelze br\u00e1t v\u017edy \u00fapln\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, ale na druhou stranu nen\u00ed od v\u011bci je sledovat. 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