{"id":643167,"date":"2024-10-18T15:00:03","date_gmt":"2024-10-18T13:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=643167"},"modified":"2024-10-18T15:14:04","modified_gmt":"2024-10-18T13:14:04","slug":"top-down-analyza-s-vyuzitim-ichimoku-rsi-a-fibonacciho","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/top-down-analyza-s-vyuzitim-ichimoku-rsi-a-fibonacciho\/","title":{"rendered":"Top-down anal\u00fdza s vyu\u017eit\u00edm Ichimoku, RSI a Fibonacciho"},"content":{"rendered":"

P\u0159edstavujeme sofistikovanou obchodn\u00ed strategii, kter\u00e1 kombinuje technickou anal\u00fdzu s vyu\u017eit\u00edm n\u011bkolika pokro\u010dil\u00fdch indik\u00e1tor\u016f a anal\u00fdzu v\u00edce \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mc\u016f. Strategie se zam\u011b\u0159uje na efektivn\u00ed identifikaci hlavn\u00edho trendu, korekc\u00ed a p\u0159esn\u00e9ho na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed vstup\u016f a v\u00fdstup\u016f.<\/em><\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi komponenty popsan\u00e9 strategie jsou Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Ichimoku Cloud), index relativn\u00ed s\u00edly (RSI) a Fibonacciho retracement, kter\u00e9 spole\u010dn\u011b umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed komplexn\u00ed anal\u00fdzu trhu a zvy\u0161uj\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost \u00fasp\u011bchu. V samotn\u00e9m z\u00e1v\u011bru se pod\u00edv\u00e1me tak\u00e9 na konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad t\u00e9to strategie.<\/p>\n

Strategie vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed technick\u00e9 indik\u00e1tory a koncepty<\/h3>\n

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo <\/strong>poskytuje komplexn\u00ed p\u0159ehled o tr\u017en\u00edch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch, v\u010detn\u011b trendu, supportu, rezistence a budouc\u00edho sm\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed trhu. Ichimoku Cloud zahrnuje n\u011bkolik slo\u017eek:<\/p>\n

Kijun Sen (\u010derven\u00e1 linie) je zn\u00e1m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 jako z\u00e1kladn\u00ed linie, kter\u00e1 se vypo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 zpr\u016fm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00edm nejni\u017e\u0161\u00edho minima a nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho maxima za posledn\u00edch 26 obdob\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Tenkan Sen (modr\u00e1 linie) je zn\u00e1m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 jako konverzn\u00ed linie, kter\u00e1 se vypo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 zpr\u016fm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00edm nejni\u017e\u0161\u00edho minima a nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho maxima za posledn\u00edch 9 obdob\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Chikou Span (zelen\u00e1 linie) je zn\u00e1m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 jako zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00e1 linie. Zobrazuje uzav\u00edrac\u00ed cenu zpo\u017ed\u011bnou o 26 obdob\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ichimoku Cloud, neboli mrak, se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 ze dvou lini\u00ed Senkou Span, kter\u00e9 slou\u017e\u00ed jako hranice mraku. Prvn\u00ed linie se vypo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 jako pr\u016fm\u011br Tenkan Sen a Kijun Sen a vykresl\u00ed se 26 obdob\u00ed dop\u0159edu. Druh\u00e1 linie se vypo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 jako pr\u016fm\u011br nejni\u017e\u0161\u00edho minima a nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho maxima za posledn\u00edch 52 obdob\u00ed a vykresl\u00ed se 26 obdob\u00ed dop\u0159edu.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Index relativn\u00ed s\u00edly (RSI)<\/strong>\u00a0je oscil\u00e1tor, kter\u00fd m\u011b\u0159\u00ed s\u00edlu a rychlost cenov\u00fdch zm\u011bn v ur\u010dit\u00e9m obdob\u00ed. Hodnoty RSI nad 70 nazna\u010duj\u00ed p\u0159ekoupenost trhu, zat\u00edmco hodnoty pod 30 signalizuj\u00ed p\u0159eprodanost.<\/p>\n

Fibonacciho retracement a expanze<\/strong>\u00a0jsou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 horizont\u00e1ln\u00ed linie, kter\u00e9 identifikuj\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b supportu a rezistence na z\u00e1klad\u011b p\u0159edchoz\u00edch cenov\u00fdch pohyb\u016f. Fibonacciho retracement (38.2 %, 50 %, 61.8 %) je obvykle pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n k identifikaci mo\u017en\u00fdch korekc\u00ed, zat\u00edmco Fibonacciho expanze (161.8 %) m\u016f\u017ee slou\u017eit jako c\u00edlov\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148 pro v\u00fdstup z pozice.<\/p>\n

Anal\u00fdza v\u00edce \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mc\u016f <\/strong>(top-down anal\u00fdza) umo\u017e\u0148uje obchodn\u00edk\u016fm analyzovat trh na n\u011bkolika \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mc\u00edch sou\u010dasn\u011b. Hlavn\u00ed trend se identifikuje na vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci (nap\u0159. denn\u00ed graf), zat\u00edmco vstupy do pozic jsou na\u010dasov\u00e1ny na ni\u017e\u0161\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci (nap\u0159. 1H graf).<\/p>\n

Pravidla obchodn\u00ed strategie<\/h2>\n

Krok 1:<\/strong> Identifikace trendu na vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci pomoc\u00ed Ichimoku Cloud.<\/p>\n

Na vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci (nap\u0159. denn\u00ed graf) analyzujeme celkov\u00fd trend pomoc\u00ed Ichimoku Cloud. Cena nad mrakem nazna\u010duje rostouc\u00ed trend, zat\u00edmco cena pod mrakem signalizuje klesaj\u00edc\u00ed trend. Tento krok n\u00e1m umo\u017en\u00ed identifikovat hlavn\u00ed sm\u011br trhu, co\u017e je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 pro na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed vstupu na ni\u017e\u0161\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci.<\/p>\n

Krok 2:<\/strong> Fibonacciho retracement pro identifikaci korekc\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Po identifikaci hlavn\u00edho trendu aplikujeme Fibonacciho retracement na vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci, abychom ur\u010dili kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b supportu a rezistence. \u00darovn\u011b 38.2 %, 50 % a 61.8 % p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 z\u00f3ny, kde m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt ke korekci trhu, a tud\u00ed\u017e i k p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitostem pro vstup do pozice.<\/p>\n

Krok 3:<\/strong> Potvrzen\u00ed vstupu na ni\u017e\u0161\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci pomoc\u00ed RSI a Ichimoku Cloud.<\/p>\n

Na ni\u017e\u0161\u00edm \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci (nap\u0159. 1H graf) sledujeme potvrzen\u00ed trendu a s\u00edly trhu. Cena mus\u00ed b\u00fdt nad mrakem (pro long pozice) nebo pod mrakem (pro short pozice), a z\u00e1rove\u0148 RSI mus\u00ed b\u00fdt v p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9m rozmez\u00ed:<\/p>\n

– pro long pozici: RSI by m\u011blo b\u00fdt v rozmez\u00ed 30\u201350, co\u017e nazna\u010duje slab\u0161\u00ed trh s potenci\u00e1lem r\u016fstu.<\/p>\n

– pro short pozici: RSI by m\u011blo b\u00fdt v rozmez\u00ed 50\u201370, co\u017e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee trh m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt p\u0159ekoupen\u00fd a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b bude klesat.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Krok 4:<\/strong> Vstup do obchodu a \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed rizika.<\/p>\n

Jakmile jsou spln\u011bny v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 podm\u00ednky, zad\u00e1v\u00e1me obchodn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edkaz. Stop Loss nastavujeme pod\/nad v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b Ichimoku Cloudu nebo Fibonacciho retracementu. Pro zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ziskovosti pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me tak\u00e9 Trailing Stop na z\u00e1klad\u011b Fibonacciho expanze nebo dal\u0161\u00edch technick\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00ed, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b m\u016f\u017eeme vyu\u017e\u00edt pevn\u011b dan\u00e9 RRR apod.<\/p>\n

Krok 5:<\/strong> V\u00fdstup z obchodu.<\/p>\n

Pro v\u00fdstup z pozice sledujeme kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 Fibonacciho \u00farovn\u011b (nap\u0159. 161.8 % expanze) nebo sign\u00e1ly p\u0159ekoupenosti\/p\u0159eprodanosti na RSI. V\u00fdstup z long pozice nast\u00e1v\u00e1, kdy\u017e RSI dos\u00e1hne \u00farovn\u011b 70 nebo cena dos\u00e1hne Fibonacciho expanze, co\u017e nazna\u010duje mo\u017enou zm\u011bnu sm\u011bru. V\u00fdstup v\u0161ak lze \u0159e\u0161it i jin\u00fdmi zp\u016fsoby, z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na preferenc\u00edch tradera.<\/p>\n

Praktick\u00fd p\u0159\u00edklad<\/h2>\n

Obchodn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad ukazuje aplikaci t\u00e9to strategie na p\u00e1ru EURJPY<\/p>\n

1, Identifikace trendu:<\/strong> Na denn\u00edm grafu EURJPY cena prorazila nad Ichimoku Cloud, co\u017e nazna\u010duje rostouc\u00ed trend. Aplikujeme Fibonacciho retracement na posledn\u00ed vzestupn\u00fd pohyb a zjist\u00edme, \u017ee \u00farove\u0148 supportu, kterou p\u0159edstavuje tzv. mrak, se nach\u00e1z\u00ed mezi \u00farovn\u011bmi 38,2 % a 50 % Fibonacciho retracementu.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

2, Potvrzen\u00ed vstupu:<\/strong> Pot\u00e9, co cena otestovala na D1 grafu \u00farove\u0148 38,2 % Fibonacciho retracementu, a na H1 grafu klesl ukazatel RSI a\u017e pod hodnotu 30, co\u017e nazna\u010duje p\u0159eprodanost v r\u00e1mci rostouc\u00edho trendu. Cena z\u00e1rove\u0148 za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 stoupat nad Ichimoku Cloud.<\/p>\n

3, Vstup do pozice:<\/strong> Na z\u00e1klad\u011b potvrzen\u00ed vstupujeme do long pozice na \u00farovni kolem 160,9 a\u017e 161,0. Stop-loss nastav\u00edme pod Fibonacciho \u00farove\u0148 38.2 % (158,5), abychom ochr\u00e1nili kapit\u00e1l p\u0159i p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9m ne\u00fasp\u011bchu.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

SL tedy bude v bodech p\u0159edstavovat 250 a\u017e 300 pip\u016f a TP m\u016f\u017eeme na stavit podle Fibonacciho expanze na \u00farovn\u00edch 161,8 % (hladina kolem 167,24) nebo 176,4 % (168,51), p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b podle RRR.<\/p>\n

4, V\u00fdstup z pozice:<\/strong> Cena se pohybuje ve sm\u011bru p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9ho trendu a dosahuje TP na \u00farovn\u00edch Fibonacciho expanze 161.8 % (profit 624 pip\u016f), a tak\u00e9 176,4 % (751 pip\u016f). RSI z\u00e1rove\u0148 dosahuje hodnoty 70, co\u017e nazna\u010duje p\u0159ekoupenost. Ti trp\u011bliv\u00ed mohli po\u010dkat na dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst ceny a\u017e na hladinu 175,0, kdy maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd potenci\u00e1l p\u0159edstavoval 1440 pip\u016f, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje RRR kolem 5:1.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/h2>\n

Tato strategie, zalo\u017een\u00e1 na kombinaci pokro\u010dil\u00fdch technick\u00fdch indik\u00e1tor\u016f a anal\u00fdzy v\u00edce \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mc\u016f, poskytuje obchodn\u00edk\u016fm \u00fa\u010dinn\u00fd n\u00e1stroj pro p\u0159esn\u00e9 na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed vstup\u016f a v\u00fdstup\u016f z obchod\u016f. Pou\u017eit\u00ed Ichimoku Cloudu jako hlavn\u00edho indik\u00e1toru trendu v kombinaci s RSI a Fibonacciho \u00farovn\u011bmi umo\u017e\u0148uje efektivn\u00ed \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed rizika a maximalizaci zisk\u016f. Tato strategie je vhodn\u00e1 pro zku\u0161en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obchodn\u00edky, kte\u0159\u00ed hledaj\u00ed sofistikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup k obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u0159edstavujeme sofistikovanou obchodn\u00ed strategii, kter\u00e1 kombinuje technickou anal\u00fdzu s vyu\u017eit\u00edm n\u011bkolika pokro\u010dil\u00fdch indik\u00e1tor\u016f a anal\u00fdzu v\u00edce \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mc\u016f. Strategie se zam\u011b\u0159uje na efektivn\u00ed identifikaci hlavn\u00edho trendu, korekc\u00ed a p\u0159esn\u00e9ho na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed vstup\u016f a v\u00fdstup\u016f. Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi komponenty popsan\u00e9 strategie jsou Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Ichimoku Cloud), index relativn\u00ed s\u00edly (RSI) a Fibonacciho retracement, kter\u00e9 spole\u010dn\u011b umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed komplexn\u00ed anal\u00fdzu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":643338,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88911],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-643167","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-obchodni-systemy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTop-down anal\u00fdza s vyu\u017eit\u00edm Ichimoku, RSI a Fibonacciho | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/top-down-analyza-s-vyuzitim-ichimoku-rsi-a-fibonacciho\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Top-down anal\u00fdza s vyu\u017eit\u00edm Ichimoku, RSI a Fibonacciho\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"P\u0159edstavujeme sofistikovanou obchodn\u00ed strategii, kter\u00e1 kombinuje technickou anal\u00fdzu s vyu\u017eit\u00edm n\u011bkolika pokro\u010dil\u00fdch indik\u00e1tor\u016f a anal\u00fdzu v\u00edce \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mc\u016f. 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