{"id":627000,"date":"2024-05-22T15:00:30","date_gmt":"2024-05-22T13:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=627000"},"modified":"2024-05-22T15:11:38","modified_gmt":"2024-05-22T13:11:38","slug":"jak-se-obchoduje-proti-japonske-centralni-bance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/jak-se-obchoduje-proti-japonske-centralni-bance\/","title":{"rendered":"Jak se obchoduje proti japonsk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bance"},"content":{"rendered":"

V\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti seri\u00e1lu o \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch traderech se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na p\u0159\u00edstup, kdy se trader soust\u0159ed\u00ed pouze na jeden m\u011bnov\u00fd p\u00e1r, na n\u011bm\u017e je schopen vyu\u017e\u00edt tr\u017en\u00ed sentiment na maximum. Kdy\u017e se k\u00a0tomu p\u0159id\u00e1 dobr\u00fd risk management, je cesta k\u00a0nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9mu zisku na prvn\u00ed pohled velmi jednoduch\u00e1.<\/em><\/p>\n

Nest\u00e1v\u00e1 se \u010dasto, \u017ee na trhu vl\u00e1dne pom\u011brn\u011b jasn\u00fd konsenzus o sm\u011brov\u00e1n\u00ed trhu. Na p\u00e1rech s japonsk\u00fdm jenem tuto situaci m\u016f\u017eeme v posledn\u00edch dnech a t\u00fddnech sledovat, proto\u017ee japonsk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bance se evidentn\u011b neda\u0159\u00ed bojovat s oslabov\u00e1n\u00edm sv\u00e9 m\u011bny. P\u0159esto\u017ee v b\u0159eznu poprv\u00e9 po 17 letech zvedla z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farokovou sazbu ze z\u00e1porn\u00fdch hodnot, od za\u010d\u00e1tku leto\u0161n\u00edho roku do dubna ztratil japonsk\u00fd kolem 15 % a v\u016f\u010di dolaru se dostal nejn\u00ed\u017ee za 34 let. A i kdy\u017e BoJ p\u0159istoupila na hodnot\u011b 160 jen\u016f za dolar k intervenci ve prosp\u011bch sv\u00e9 m\u011bny, trade\u0159i se po p\u00e1r dnech op\u011bt pustili do spekulac\u00ed na pokles jenu.<\/p>\n

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K t\u00e9to skupin\u011b se p\u0159idal tak\u00e9 trader, na jeho\u017e \u00fa\u010det se dnes pod\u00edv\u00e1me. Trader se prakticky od za\u010d\u00e1tku obchodn\u00edho obdob\u00ed nach\u00e1zel v zelen\u00fdch \u010d\u00edslech a i p\u0159es n\u011bkolik s\u00e9ri\u00ed s m\u00edrn\u00fdmi ztr\u00e1tami se mu povedlo udr\u017eet rostouc\u00ed balance k\u0159ivku po celou dobu. Dopomohl mu k tomu tak\u00e9 pom\u011brn\u011b konzistentn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup, kdy\u017e jeho sk\u00f3re konzistence \u010dinilo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 80 %.<\/p>\n

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Trader se na\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed vyvaroval p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00fdch spekulac\u00ed proti trendu, tak\u017ee limit maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed denn\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty a Maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty pro n\u011bj nebyly probl\u00e9m. Celkov\u00fd profit ve v\u00fd\u0161i 64\u00a0188 dolar\u016f je jeden z\u00a0nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch za posledn\u00ed dva m\u011bs\u00edce u na\u0161ich trader\u016f, p\u0159i velikosti \u00fa\u010dtu 200\u00a0000 dolar\u016f to pak \u010din\u00ed p\u0159es 32 %.<\/p>\n

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Trader zrealizoval celkov\u011b 58 obchod\u016f o celkov\u00e9 velikosti 1 015 lot\u016f co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje 17,5 lotu na obchod. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pozice v\u0161ak \u010dinily 30 lot\u016f na obchod. Na prvn\u00ed pohled to m\u016f\u017ee vypadat hodn\u011b, ale p\u0159i dan\u00e9 velikosti \u00fa\u010dtu a s rozumn\u011b nastaven\u00fdm risk managementem a money managementem se takov\u00e1 velikost obchod\u016f d\u00e1 tolerovat. Trader obchodoval pouze osm obchodn\u00edch dn\u00ed, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e za\u010dal pr\u00e1v\u011b v dob\u011b, kdy se po intervenci BoJ na trhu op\u011bt za\u010dali v\u00fdrazn\u011bji prosazovat spekulanti na oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed japonsk\u00e9ho jenu.<\/p>\n

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Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 RRR se traderovi poda\u0159ilo udr\u017eet na hodnot\u011b 4,70, co\u017e je skute\u010dn\u011b hodn\u011b, a ne ka\u017ed\u00fd trader je schopen na takovou hodnotu RRR dos\u00e1hnout. I p\u0159i \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nosti obchod\u016f 44,83 % pak nen\u00ed probl\u00e9m dos\u00e1hnout na nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd v\u00fdnos.<\/p>\n

Z\u00a0obchodn\u00edho den\u00edku je patrn\u00e9, \u017ee trader otev\u00edral n\u011bkolik pozic denn\u011b a dr\u017eel je v\u00a0rozmez\u00ed od n\u011bkolika des\u00edtek minut a\u017e po n\u011bkolik hodin. Jde tedy o klasick\u00e9ho intradenn\u00edho obchodn\u00edka, kter\u00fd nikdy nedr\u017e\u00ed pozice otev\u0159en\u00e9 p\u0159es noc.<\/p>\n

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Vzhledem k situaci na trhu je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161inu pozic obchodn\u00edk otev\u00edral do longu, ale v p\u00e1r p\u0159\u00edpadech se sna\u017eil vyd\u011blat i na shortov\u00e9m swingu. Oce\u0148ujeme nastavov\u00e1n\u00ed Stop Loss pokyn\u016f na v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b otev\u0159en\u00fdch pozic, a tak\u00e9 to, \u017ee ztr\u00e1tov\u00e9 obchody dr\u017eel trader \u201ena uzd\u011b\u201c a jen jednou ztr\u00e1ta p\u0159ekro\u010dila hranici 2 000 dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n

Jak ji\u017e bylo zm\u00edn\u011bno, v\u011bt\u0161inu pozic otev\u00edral trader sm\u011brem long. Vzhledem k\u00a0tomu, \u017ee obchodoval v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy byl na p\u00e1ru USDJPY siln\u00fd r\u016fstov\u00fd trend, se tento p\u0159\u00edstup odrazil tak\u00e9 v\u00a0tom, jak\u00fd v\u00fdnos realizoval na long pozic\u00edch a jak\u00fd v\u00fdnos realizoval na short pozic\u00edch.<\/p>\n

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Na prvn\u00edm obr\u00e1zku vid\u00edme n\u011bkolik long pozic obchodn\u00edka, kter\u00e9 otev\u0159el na za\u010d\u00e1tku sv\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed. Prakticky ve v\u0161ech p\u0159\u00edpadech otev\u00edral pozice sm\u011brem long hned pot\u00e9, co cena ud\u011blala swing sm\u011brem dol\u016f, odrazila se od lok\u00e1ln\u00edho supportu a pokra\u010dovala v\u00a0r\u016fstu. Ve v\u0161ech p\u0159\u00edpadech otev\u00edral trader dv\u011b pozice a uzav\u00edral je pomoc\u00ed posunut\u00e9ho Stop Lossu. V\u00a0prvn\u00edm a t\u0159et\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b posouval hodnotu SL dost agresivn\u011b, co\u017e se mu nakonec vyplatilo, ve druh\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nechal cenu padnout v\u00fdrazn\u011bji. Ve v\u0161ech p\u0159\u00edpadech v\u0161ak otev\u00edral n\u00e1sledn\u00fd obchod na stejn\u00e9 hladin\u011b, kde uzav\u00edral ten p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00fd.<\/p>\n

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Na dal\u0161\u00edm obchod\u011b trader zaznamenal sv\u016fj nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed zisk v dan\u00e9m obchodn\u00edm obdob\u00ed. Op\u011bt se mu poda\u0159ilo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ide\u00e1ln\u011b posunout sv\u016fj Stop Loss, resp. sv\u016fj obchod uzav\u00edral t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed koncem obchodn\u00edch hodin dan\u00e9ho dne a evidentn\u011b necht\u011bl dr\u017eet obchod otev\u0159en p\u0159es v\u00edkend.<\/p>\n

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Hned v\u00a0pond\u011bl\u00ed r\u00e1no pak otev\u0159el dal\u0161\u00ed dv\u011b pozice ve sm\u011bru long, dokonce hluboko pod uzav\u00edrac\u00ed cenou p\u0159edchoz\u00edho obchodu, tak\u017ee v\u00a0tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b se mu uzav\u0159en\u00ed prvn\u00ed pozice ur\u010dit\u011b vyplatilo. V\u00a0t\u00e9 dob\u011b vy\u0161la v\u00a0Japonsku makrodata t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se trhu bydlen\u00ed i trhu pr\u00e1ce, je\u017e byla pod o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm. M\u016f\u017eeme tak tento obchod pova\u017eovat za obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed zpr\u00e1v, ale jeliko\u017e m\u00e1 trader \u00fa\u010det typu swing, ur\u010dit\u011b to nen\u00ed probl\u00e9m.<\/p>\n

Pozn\u00e1mka: Jeliko\u017e z grafu nem\u016f\u017eeme jasn\u011b definovat p\u0159esnou strategii tradera, jde pouze o soukrom\u00fd n\u00e1zor autora \u010dl\u00e1nku. FTMO Trade\u0159i maj\u00ed p\u0159i v\u00fdb\u011bru strategie volnou ruku a pokud vysloven\u011b neporu\u0161uj\u00ed na\u0161e obchodn\u00ed podm\u00ednky a \u0159\u00edd\u00ed se na\u0161imi pravidly risk managementu, je v\u00fdb\u011br strategie a realizace jednotliv\u00fdch obchod\u016f pouze na nich.<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti seri\u00e1lu o \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch traderech se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na p\u0159\u00edstup, kdy se trader soust\u0159ed\u00ed pouze na jeden m\u011bnov\u00fd p\u00e1r, na n\u011bm\u017e je schopen vyu\u017e\u00edt tr\u017en\u00ed sentiment na maximum. Kdy\u017e se k\u00a0tomu p\u0159id\u00e1 dobr\u00fd risk management, je cesta k\u00a0nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9mu zisku na prvn\u00ed pohled velmi jednoduch\u00e1. Nest\u00e1v\u00e1 se \u010dasto, \u017ee na trhu vl\u00e1dne pom\u011brn\u011b jasn\u00fd konsenzus o […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":627270,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[89110],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-627000","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ftmo-traders-analysis-cs"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nJak se obchoduje proti japonsk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bance | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/jak-se-obchoduje-proti-japonske-centralni-bance\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Jak se obchoduje proti japonsk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bance\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"V\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti seri\u00e1lu o \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch traderech se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na p\u0159\u00edstup, kdy se trader soust\u0159ed\u00ed pouze na jeden m\u011bnov\u00fd p\u00e1r, na n\u011bm\u017e je schopen vyu\u017e\u00edt tr\u017en\u00ed sentiment na maximum. Kdy\u017e se k\u00a0tomu p\u0159id\u00e1 dobr\u00fd risk management, je cesta k\u00a0nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9mu zisku na prvn\u00ed pohled velmi jednoduch\u00e1. Nest\u00e1v\u00e1 se \u010dasto, \u017ee na trhu vl\u00e1dne pom\u011brn\u011b jasn\u00fd konsenzus o […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/jak-se-obchoduje-proti-japonske-centralni-bance\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"FTMO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/ftmocom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-05-22T13:00:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-05-22T13:11:38+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/How-to-trade-against-the-Bank-of-Japan-CZ.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2400\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1256\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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Kdy\u017e se k\u00a0tomu p\u0159id\u00e1 dobr\u00fd risk management, je cesta k\u00a0nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9mu zisku na prvn\u00ed pohled velmi jednoduch\u00e1. Nest\u00e1v\u00e1 se \u010dasto, \u017ee na trhu vl\u00e1dne pom\u011brn\u011b jasn\u00fd konsenzus o […]","og_url":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/jak-se-obchoduje-proti-japonske-centralni-bance\/","og_site_name":"FTMO","article_publisher":"https:\/\/facebook.com\/ftmocom\/","article_published_time":"2024-05-22T13:00:30+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-05-22T13:11:38+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2400,"height":1256,"url":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/How-to-trade-against-the-Bank-of-Japan-CZ.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/jak-se-obchoduje-proti-japonske-centralni-bance\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/jak-se-obchoduje-proti-japonske-centralni-bance\/"},"author":{"name":"Daniel Kuchta","@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/e19858442faa4d101a51094cfe2317bf"},"headline":"Jak se obchoduje proti japonsk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed 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