{"id":614581,"date":"2024-04-05T14:30:24","date_gmt":"2024-04-05T12:30:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=614581"},"modified":"2024-04-08T09:37:18","modified_gmt":"2024-04-08T07:37:18","slug":"co-prinese-halving-bitcoinu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/co-prinese-halving-bitcoinu\/","title":{"rendered":"Co p\u0159inese halving bitcoinu?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kryptom\u011bna bitcoin v\u00a0posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech a m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch op\u011bt pln\u00ed str\u00e1nky ekonomick\u00fdch a finan\u010dn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed. Za\u010d\u00e1tkem roku bylo d\u016fvodem rostouc\u00edho z\u00e1jmu schv\u00e1len\u00ed nov\u00fdch ETF na bitcoin, v\u00a0posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech je to zase o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd halving.<\/em><\/p>\n

U\u017e koncem minul\u00e9ho roku se bitcoin po del\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b vr\u00e1til na r\u016fstovou trajektorii, kdy investo\u0159i o\u010dek\u00e1vali schv\u00e1len\u00ed bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF ze strany americk\u00e9 Komise pro cenn\u00e9 pap\u00edry (SEC). Cena bitcoinu se tak po del\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b trvale usadila nad hodnotou 30 000 USD a i kdy\u017e po schv\u00e1len\u00ed ETF do\u0161lo ke korekci, cena v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch dnech a t\u00fddnech vyst\u0159elila na nov\u00e1 historick\u00e1 maxima. Rekordy pak p\u0159ekon\u00e1vaj\u00ed i objemy obchod\u016f s bitcoinov\u00fdmi ETF.<\/p>\n

Halving BTC jako nov\u00fd motor r\u016fstu ceny?<\/h2>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed takovou ud\u00e1lost\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by mohla v\u00fdrazn\u011bji zam\u00e1vat s\u00a0cenou a poslat ji na nov\u00e1 maxima (jak dnes v\u0161ichni doufaj\u00ed), je tzv. halving, kter\u00fd se uskute\u010d\u0148uje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b jednou za \u010dty\u0159i roky. K\u00a0tomu nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edmu by pak m\u011blo doj\u00edt letos koncem dubna.<\/p>\n

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Po\u010det vyt\u011b\u017eiteln\u00fdch bitcoin\u016f je pevn\u011b stanoven u\u017e od jeho vzniku v roce 2009 na 21 milion\u016f (dodnes bylo vygenerov\u00e1no n\u011bco p\u0159es 19 milion\u016f) a halving zaji\u0161\u0165uje, aby tempo p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstku nov\u00fdch bitcoin\u016f postupn\u011b klesalo. P\u0159i halvingu se tedy sni\u017euje odm\u011bna za jeden vyt\u011b\u017een\u00fd blok. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku byla odm\u011bna za jeden vyt\u011b\u017een\u00fd blok stanovena na 50 bitcoin\u016f, v listopadu 2012 se sn\u00ed\u017eila na 25 bitcoin\u016f, v \u010dervenci 2016 na 12,5 bitcoinu a v kv\u011btnu 2020 byla sn\u00ed\u017eena na 6,25 bitcoinu. V dubnu leto\u0161n\u00edho roku se pak odm\u011bna za vyt\u011b\u017een\u00fd blok sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed na 3,125 bitcoinu.<\/p>\n

P\u016flen\u00ed neboli halving se ned\u011bje p\u0159esn\u011b jednou za \u010dty\u0159i roky, ale d\u011bje se po vyt\u011b\u017een\u00ed 210\u00a0000 blok\u016f, co\u017e pak vych\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b jednou za \u010dty\u0159i roky. V\u00a0sou\u010dasnosti se tak denn\u011b vygeneruje 900 bitcoin\u016f denn\u011b a po halvingu to bude 450 bitcoin\u016f denn\u011b.<\/p>\n

U halvingu tedy nejde o to, aby se sn\u00ed\u017eila celkov\u00e1 nab\u00eddka bitcoin\u016f, ale o to, aby se sn\u00ed\u017eil po\u010det nov\u00fdch bitcoin\u016f, kter\u00e9 se dostanou na trh. Halving tak vede ke zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed vz\u00e1cnosti bitcoinu, co\u017e by pak logicky m\u011blo v\u00e9st k\u00a0r\u016fstu jeho ceny.<\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomuto o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, a vzhledem ke zmi\u0148ovan\u00e9mu zaveden\u00ed bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF, tak v sou\u010dasnosti cena bitcoinu roste, co\u017e je na prvn\u00ed pohled logick\u00e9. Z\u00e1jem o kryptom\u011bnu stoup\u00e1 a jeho v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vz\u00e1cnost, dan\u00e1 men\u0161\u00edm po\u010dtem nov\u00fdch bitcoin\u016f v ob\u011bhu, by tak m\u011bla v\u00e9st k r\u016fstu ceny. Podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch ekonom\u016f je v\u0161ak r\u016fst, na rozd\u00edl od minul\u00fdch halving\u016f, p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00fd a p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 siln\u00fd a optimismus a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed investor\u016f jsou mo\u017en\u00e1 p\u0159ehnan\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin za 100\u00a0000 USD?<\/h2>\n

Je zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, a neplat\u00ed to pouze pro bitcoin, \u017ee kdy\u017e se cena dostane do rostouc\u00edho trendu, za\u010dnou se v\u00a0mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e \u0161\u00ed\u0159it p\u0159edpov\u011bdi o nov\u00fdch historick\u00fdch maximech (nebo jsou aspo\u0148 mnohem v\u00edce medi\u00e1ln\u011b pokryt\u00e9). Bohu\u017eel nen\u00ed v\u00fdjimkou, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm v\u00edce t\u011bchto zaru\u010den\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v o cen\u011b bitcoinu na 100\u00a0000 USD se objev\u00ed, t\u00edm se zv\u011bt\u0161uje pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee cena bude sp\u00ed\u0161e klesat. Stalo se to i v\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edm b\u0159eznu, kdy bitcoin klesl ze sv\u00e9ho maxima na \u00farovni 73\u00a0800 USD a\u017e na 60\u00a0000 USD.<\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nen\u00ed d\u016fvod k panice, proto\u017ee p\u0159ed halvingem m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k poklesu ceny a v minulosti k n\u011b\u010demu podobn\u00e9mu u\u017e do\u0161lo (a ke korekci doch\u00e1zelo tak\u00e9 kr\u00e1tce po samotn\u00e9m halvingu). Klidn\u011b tak\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee j\u00edt o vyb\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed zisk\u016f kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fdch spekulant\u016f (dr\u017e\u00edc\u00edch na pen\u011b\u017eence bitcoiny m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 155 dn\u00ed), kte\u0159\u00ed v sou\u010dasnosti dr\u017e\u00ed nejv\u00edce bitcoin\u016f od konce \u010dervna 2021. Optimist\u00e9 tak mohou vid\u011bt paralelu v tom, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b koncem \u010dervna 2021 m\u011bl za sebou bitcoin v\u00fdraznou korekci (ze 64 700 USD na 29 200 USD) a p\u0159ed sebou siln\u00fd r\u016fstov\u00fd trend, po n\u011bm\u017e dos\u00e1hla cena v listopadu 2021 na nov\u00e9 maximum 69 000 USD.<\/p>\n

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Vypad\u00e1 to tak, \u017ee ve prosp\u011bch dal\u0161\u00edho r\u016fstu ceny na nov\u00e1 maxima hraje hodn\u011b faktor\u016f. Na druhou stranu st\u00e1le plat\u00ed, \u017ee historick\u00e1 v\u00fdkonnost nen\u00ed z\u00e1rukou budouc\u00edch v\u00fdnos\u016f. Podle analytik\u016f JP Morgan by po poklesu o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed spojen\u00fdch s\u00a0halvingem mohlo letos doj\u00edt k\u00a0poklesu ceny bitcoinu a\u017e k\u00a0hodnot\u011b 42\u00a0000 USD.<\/p>\n

Vypln\u00ed se \u010dern\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159?<\/h2>\n

\u010cern\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd podle JP Morgan hroz\u00ed, spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed odm\u011bny za t\u011b\u017ebu bitcoin\u016f povede ke sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed atraktivity t\u011b\u017eby pro mnoho t\u011b\u017ea\u0159\u016f, proto\u017ee se jim to zkr\u00e1tka nevyplat\u00ed. Samotn\u00ed t\u011b\u017ea\u0159i a jejich aktivita ale zvy\u0161uj\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost bitcoinov\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b. Jde o to, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm v\u00edce t\u011b\u017ea\u0159\u016f t\u011b\u017e\u00ed bitcoin, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdpo\u010detn\u00ed v\u00fdkon by pot\u0159eboval potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00edk, tak\u017ee velk\u00fd po\u010det t\u011b\u017ea\u0159\u016f zvy\u0161uje bezpe\u010dnost bitcoinu. Pokud by p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho t\u011b\u017ea\u0159\u016f skon\u010dilo s t\u011b\u017ebou kv\u016fli neefektivit\u011b, mohlo by to sn\u00ed\u017eit zabezpe\u010den\u00ed bitcoinu. To by pak mohlo v\u00e9st ke zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed ned\u016fv\u011bry, poklesu z\u00e1jmu investor\u016f a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9mu v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu poklesu ceny.<\/p>\n

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Ve skute\u010dnosti v\u0161ak pravd\u011bpodobnost tohoto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt velmi vysok\u00e1 a m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt jen do\u010dasn\u00fd efekt. Do budoucna ale m\u016f\u017ee j\u00edt o st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9m, proto\u017ee odm\u011bna za vyt\u011b\u017een\u00fd blok bude s ka\u017ed\u00fdm dal\u0161\u00edm halvingem men\u0161\u00ed. \u0158e\u0161en\u00edm pak mohou b\u00fdt rostouc\u00ed transak\u010dn\u00ed poplatky, co\u017e v\u0161ak op\u011bt m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt negativn\u00ed vliv na z\u00e1jem o vlastn\u011bn\u00ed a vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed bitcoinu.<\/p>\n

Co se bude po halvingu skute\u010dn\u011b d\u00edt, se dnes s\u00a0jistotu p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bt ned\u00e1. Pokud m\u00e1te bitcoin ve sv\u00e9m portfoliu, m\u016f\u017eete o\u010dek\u00e1vat r\u016fst na nov\u00e1 maxima, ale spol\u00e9hat se na to ur\u010dit\u011b nejde. Pokud se chyst\u00e1te nakoupit bitcoin jen kv\u016fli o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edho r\u016fstu, doporu\u010dujeme tak\u00e9 sp\u00ed\u0161e obez\u0159etnost. Obchodujte bezpe\u010dn\u011b!<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kryptom\u011bna bitcoin v\u00a0posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech a m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch op\u011bt pln\u00ed str\u00e1nky ekonomick\u00fdch a finan\u010dn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed. Za\u010d\u00e1tkem roku bylo d\u016fvodem rostouc\u00edho z\u00e1jmu schv\u00e1len\u00ed nov\u00fdch ETF na bitcoin, v\u00a0posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech je to zase o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd halving. U\u017e koncem minul\u00e9ho roku se bitcoin po del\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b vr\u00e1til na r\u016fstovou trajektorii, kdy investo\u0159i o\u010dek\u00e1vali schv\u00e1len\u00ed bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF ze strany americk\u00e9 Komise pro […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":614732,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88909],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-614581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rady-a-tipy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCo p\u0159inese halving bitcoinu? | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jak\u00fd vliv m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt na cenu kryptom\u011bny bitcoin o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd halving? 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