{"id":529242,"date":"2022-07-08T14:00:14","date_gmt":"2022-07-08T12:00:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=529242"},"modified":"2022-07-08T13:36:46","modified_gmt":"2022-07-08T11:36:46","slug":"proc-je-par-eurusd-vhodny-pro-kazdeho-tradera","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/proc-je-par-eurusd-vhodny-pro-kazdeho-tradera\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d je p\u00e1r EURUSD vhodn\u00fd pro ka\u017ed\u00e9ho tradera?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Na m\u011bnov\u00e9m p\u00e1ru EURUSD dnes trade\u0159i za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed neb\u00fdval\u00e9 v\u00fdprodeje eura a v nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed dosa\u017een\u00ed parity. V \u010dem je tento nejobchodovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u00e1r pro tradery tak zaj\u00edmav\u00fd a na co by si u n\u011bj trade\u0159i m\u011bli d\u00e1t pozor?<\/em><\/p>\n

Euro v\u016f\u010di americk\u00e9mu dolaru na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u010dervence kleslo na dvacetilet\u00e9 minimum a trade\u0159i za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed spekulovat o \u010dern\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u00edch. Velk\u00e9 banky \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed sv\u00fdm klient\u016fm, aby shortovali euro a agentura Bloomberg dokonce tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee existuje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 50% implikovan\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee euro dos\u00e1hne parity v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edci. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici dokonce pova\u017euj\u00ed euro za m\u011bnu, kterou dnes prakticky nejde koupit, proto\u017ee ECB nem\u00e1 jasn\u00fd pl\u00e1n, jak bojovat s\u00a0inflac\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Podobn\u00e1 vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed jsou samoz\u0159ejm\u011b p\u0159ita\u017een\u00e1 za vlasy, ale pravdou je, \u017ee z\u00e1stupci ECB jsou nejednotn\u00ed v\u00a0tom, jak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem p\u0159istoupit ke zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb. Evrop\u011b p\u0159itom hroz\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 riziko recese kv\u016fli mo\u017en\u00e9mu p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed dod\u00e1vek plynu ze strany Ruska. Mo\u017en\u00e1 recese omez\u00ed mo\u017enosti ECB p\u0159i zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb, holubi\u010d\u00ed postoj centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky ale na druhou stranu je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fd diferenci\u00e1l mezi eurem a dolarem, co\u017e zase znev\u00fdhodn\u00ed evropskou m\u011bnu v\u016f\u010di dolaru. K\u00a0tomu v\u0161emu se je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159id\u00e1vaj\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 spready na italsk\u00fdch dluhopisech, tak\u017ee na euru to dnes vypad\u00e1 jako \u201edokonal\u00e1 bou\u0159e\u201c.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Euru by dnes mohla pomoci pouze pauza ve zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb ze strany americk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky, nebo ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b. Oba sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e jsou v\u0161ak dnes pom\u011brn\u011b m\u00e1lo pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9. Trade\u0159i se tedy mus\u00ed p\u0159ipravit na mo\u017enost, \u017ee podobn\u00e9 propady, jak\u00e9ho jsme byli sv\u011bdkem 5. \u010dervence, nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt v\u00fdjimkou, zejm\u00e9na pokud se euro dostane s dolarem pod paritu (tedy kurz men\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 1.0000).<\/p>\n

Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed volatilita nen\u00ed v\u00fdjimkou<\/h2>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee se dne\u0161n\u00ed situace m\u016f\u017ee zd\u00e1t v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u00e1 a volatilita na m\u011bnov\u00e9m p\u00e1ru EURUSD p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00e1, v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pohyby nejsou u tohoto p\u00e1ru nic mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9ho. Nap\u0159\u00edklad v roce 2008, kdy v USA padla banka Lehman Brothers a sv\u011bt se dostal do finan\u010dn\u00ed krize, hodnota eura p\u0159ekonala k dolaru hodnotu 1,6000. Kdy\u017e se pak v roce 2010 dostalo do dluhov\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f \u0158ecko, kurs EURUSD klesl a\u017e k hodnot\u011b 1,2300. V letech 2014 a 2015 m\u011bnov\u00fd p\u00e1r EURUSD klesal je\u0161t\u011b strm\u011bji ne\u017e dnes a z hodnoty 1,3800 klesl a\u017e pod 1,0500, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e i tehdy se mluvilo o mo\u017en\u00e9m dosa\u017een\u00ed parity. Situace v Evrop\u011b tehdy nutila ECB sni\u017eovat \u00farokovou sazbu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e americk\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka za\u010dala se zp\u0159\u00eds\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm m\u011bnov\u00e9 politiky.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Nejobchodovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u00e1r<\/h2>\n

M\u011bnov\u00fd p\u00e1r EUR USD je zkr\u00e1tka jeden z nejsledovan\u011bj\u0161\u00edch p\u00e1r\u016f na forexu (t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u010dtvrtina v\u0161ech obchod\u016f na forexu), proto\u017ee jej ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed ud\u00e1losti dvou ekonomicky nejrozvinut\u011bj\u0161\u00edch region\u016f a obsahuje dv\u011b nejobchodovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed m\u011bny. Na obou kontinentech p\u016fsob\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed spole\u010dnosti, tak\u017ee denn\u011b na t\u011bchto dvou m\u011bn\u00e1ch, a tak\u00e9 na samotn\u00e9m p\u00e1ru EURUSD, prob\u011bhne velmi velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed obchod\u016f.<\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd dolar je s\u00e1m o sob\u011b nejobchodovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed m\u011bnou (vyskytuje se ve v\u00edce ne\u017e 80 % obchod\u016f na forexu). Je dlouhodob\u011b pova\u017eov\u00e1n za rezervn\u00ed m\u011bnu, m\u00e1 dlouhou historii, realizuje se v n\u011bm v\u011bt\u0161ina mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch transakc\u00ed a obchoduje se v n\u011bm v\u011bt\u0161ina komodit. Krom\u011b toho je tradery pova\u017eov\u00e1n za bezpe\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav, kter\u00fd investo\u0159i nakupuj\u00ed v dob\u00e1ch nejistoty. Euro je sice pom\u011brn\u011b mladou m\u011bnou (p\u0159edstaveno bylo a\u017e v roce 1999), ale stejn\u011b jde o druhou nejobchodovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed m\u011bnu (v\u00edce ne\u017e 30 % obchod\u016f na forexu). Je ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u011bnou v 19 z 27 \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f Evropsk\u00e9 unie a je pova\u017eov\u00e1no za druhou sv\u011btovou rezervn\u00ed m\u011bnu.<\/p>\n

Vysok\u00e1 likvidita, n\u00edzk\u00e9 spready<\/h2>\n

V\u00fdhodou vysok\u00e9 likvidity na p\u00e1ru EURUSD je to, \u017ee jej lze obchodovat prakticky v jakoukoli denn\u00ed dobu. Nejaktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm obdob\u00edm je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b konec evropsk\u00e9 seance a za\u010d\u00e1tek americk\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed seance, ale tento p\u00e1r obchodovat lze i v jin\u00e9 \u010dasy, proto\u017ee se s n\u00edm obchoduje ve v\u0161ech d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch obchodn\u00edch centrech po sv\u011bt\u011b. Do obchodu s p\u00e1rem EURUSD se zapojuj\u00ed prakticky v\u0161echny skupiny obchodn\u00edk\u016f, od centr\u00e1ln\u00edch bank p\u0159es velk\u00e9 institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed investory a\u017e po retailov\u00e9 tradery. I d\u00edky tomu je na trhu zaru\u010dena velk\u00e1 likvidita a velmi n\u00edzk\u00e9 spready.<\/p>\n

Vysok\u00e1 likvidita a n\u00edzk\u00e9 spready jsou v\u00fdhodou tak\u00e9 pro intradenn\u00ed tradery nebo scalpery (je vhodn\u00fd tak\u00e9 pro za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed tradery) a technick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza na tomto trhu funguje velmi dob\u0159e prakticky na jak\u00e9mkoli timeframu. Trade\u0159i na tomto p\u00e1ru jen z\u0159\u00eddkakdy za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed gapy a roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed spread\u016f se d\u011bje jen v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u011b a kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b v\u00a0\u010dasech, kdy se publikuj\u00ed nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy.<\/p>\n

Jak je patrn\u00e9 z\u00a0prvn\u00edch odstavc\u016f \u010dl\u00e1nku, pohyby na p\u00e1ru EURUSD ovliv\u0148uje jak d\u011bn\u00ed v\u00a0USA a severn\u00ed Americe, tak i na evropsk\u00e9m kontinentu. \u00darokov\u00e9 sazby ECB i Fedu, nezam\u011bstnanost a inflace v\u00a0USA, N\u011bmecku, i cel\u00e9 euroz\u00f3n\u011b, politick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj na obou stran\u00e1ch Atlantiku, to v\u0161echno m\u00e1 vliv na tento p\u00e1r. Vzhledem k\u00a0postaven\u00ed dolaru jako bezpe\u010dn\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstavu v\u0161ak maj\u00ed na tento p\u00e1r vliv tak\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti i v\u00a0jin\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech sv\u011bta, nebo d\u011bn\u00ed na komoditn\u00edch trz\u00edch, dluhopisov\u00fdch a akciov\u00fdch trz\u00edch.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Na m\u011bnov\u00e9m p\u00e1ru EURUSD dnes trade\u0159i za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed neb\u00fdval\u00e9 v\u00fdprodeje eura a v nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed dosa\u017een\u00ed parity. V \u010dem je tento nejobchodovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u00e1r pro tradery tak zaj\u00edmav\u00fd a na co by si u n\u011bj trade\u0159i m\u011bli d\u00e1t pozor? Euro v\u016f\u010di americk\u00e9mu dolaru na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u010dervence kleslo na dvacetilet\u00e9 minimum a trade\u0159i za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed spekulovat o \u010dern\u00fdch […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":529344,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[89042],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-529242","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-instrumenty"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPro\u010d je p\u00e1r EURUSD vhodn\u00fd pro ka\u017ed\u00e9ho tradera? | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/proc-je-par-eurusd-vhodny-pro-kazdeho-tradera\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pro\u010d je p\u00e1r EURUSD vhodn\u00fd pro ka\u017ed\u00e9ho tradera?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Na m\u011bnov\u00e9m p\u00e1ru EURUSD dnes trade\u0159i za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed neb\u00fdval\u00e9 v\u00fdprodeje eura a v nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed dosa\u017een\u00ed parity. 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V \u010dem je tento nejobchodovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u00e1r pro tradery tak zaj\u00edmav\u00fd a na co by si u n\u011bj trade\u0159i m\u011bli d\u00e1t pozor? Euro v\u016f\u010di americk\u00e9mu dolaru na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u010dervence kleslo na dvacetilet\u00e9 minimum a trade\u0159i za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed spekulovat o \u010dern\u00fdch […]","og_url":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/proc-je-par-eurusd-vhodny-pro-kazdeho-tradera\/","og_site_name":"FTMO","article_publisher":"https:\/\/facebook.com\/ftmocom\/","article_published_time":"2022-07-08T12:00:14+00:00","article_modified_time":"2022-07-08T11:36:46+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":628,"url":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Why-is-EURUSD-suitable-for-retail-traders-of-all-levels-of-experience_CZ.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/proc-je-par-eurusd-vhodny-pro-kazdeho-tradera\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/proc-je-par-eurusd-vhodny-pro-kazdeho-tradera\/"},"author":{"name":"Daniel Kuchta","@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/e19858442faa4d101a51094cfe2317bf"},"headline":"Pro\u010d je p\u00e1r EURUSD vhodn\u00fd pro ka\u017ed\u00e9ho tradera?","datePublished":"2022-07-08T12:00:14+00:00","dateModified":"2022-07-08T11:36:46+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/proc-je-par-eurusd-vhodny-pro-kazdeho-tradera\/"},"wordCount":1028,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/proc-je-par-eurusd-vhodny-pro-kazdeho-tradera\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Why-is-EURUSD-suitable-for-retail-traders-of-all-levels-of-experience_CZ.jpg","articleSection":["Instrumenty"],"inLanguage":"cs"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/proc-je-par-eurusd-vhodny-pro-kazdeho-tradera\/","url":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/proc-je-par-eurusd-vhodny-pro-kazdeho-tradera\/","name":"Pro\u010d je p\u00e1r EURUSD vhodn\u00fd pro ka\u017ed\u00e9ho tradera? 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