{"id":526755,"date":"2022-05-20T06:50:45","date_gmt":"2022-05-20T04:50:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=526755"},"modified":"2022-05-20T15:12:32","modified_gmt":"2022-05-20T13:12:32","slug":"ekonomicky-kalendar-inflace-muze-byt-zradna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/ekonomicky-kalendar-inflace-muze-byt-zradna\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomick\u00fd kalend\u00e1\u0159 \u2013 inflace m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zr\u00e1dn\u00e1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Ve druh\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti na\u0161eho seri\u00e1lu o d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch datech v\u00a0ekonomick\u00e9m kalend\u00e1\u0159i a jejich vlivu na obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed na forexu si nap\u00ed\u0161eme o inflaci. Inflace je dnes hodn\u011b \u017ehav\u00fdm t\u00e9matem a trade\u0159i by m\u011bli v\u011bd\u011bt, na co si d\u00e1t pozor, kdy\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e1 zem\u011b vyhla\u0161uje \u00fadaje o inflaci.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Pod pojmem inflace si p\u0159edstavujeme r\u016fst cenov\u00e9 hladiny a sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed kupn\u00ed s\u00edly (resp. re\u00e1ln\u00e9 hodnoty) dan\u00e9 m\u011bny, v n\u00ed\u017e spot\u0159ebitel\u00e9 nakupuj\u00ed zbo\u017e\u00ed a slu\u017eby. V\u011bt\u0161inou se v souvislosti s inflac\u00ed m\u016f\u017eeme setkat s v\u00fdrazem index spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch cen (consumer price index, CPI), jeho\u017e p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstek je m\u011b\u0159\u00edtkem inflace. Meziro\u010dn\u00ed m\u00edra inflace v dan\u00e9m m\u011bs\u00edci je tak vyj\u00e1d\u0159ena jako p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstek CPI ke stejn\u00e9mu m\u011bs\u00edci p\u0159edchoz\u00edho roku.<\/p>\n<p>CPI se po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 jako pr\u016fm\u011br cenov\u00fdch zm\u011bn jednotliv\u00fdch polo\u017eek ve spot\u0159ebn\u00edm ko\u0161i. Slo\u017een\u00ed spot\u0159ebn\u00edho ko\u0161e je p\u0159edem stanoveno a jednotliv\u00e9 polo\u017eky maj\u00ed r\u016fznou v\u00e1hu, kter\u00e1 se v\u00a0ur\u010dit\u00fdch intervalech m\u016f\u017ee m\u011bnit. Jsou zde zastoupeny potraviny, alkohol, bydlen\u00ed, energie apod. Ka\u017ed\u00e1 zem\u011b m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 jinou v\u00e1hu jednotliv\u00fdch kategori\u00ed tvo\u0159\u00edc\u00edch spot\u0159ebn\u00ed ko\u0161, z\u00a0n\u011bho\u017e se po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 inflace.<\/p>\n<p>Inflace, resp. CPI je velmi d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd ukazatel, proto\u017ee kupn\u00ed s\u00edla a r\u016fst cen zbo\u017e\u00ed a slu\u017eeb m\u016f\u017ee trader\u016fm a investor\u016fm hodn\u011b napov\u011bd\u011bt o tom, jak se bude vyv\u00edjet m\u011bnov\u00e1 politika dan\u00e9 zem\u011b. Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed inflace, s\u00a0jakou se mnoh\u00e9 ekonomiky pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed tak\u00e9 v\u00a0polovin\u011b roku 2022, vede centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky ke zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb. To m\u00e1 na jednu stranu vliv na ekonomickou aktivitu, kter\u00e1 se p\u0159i vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch \u00farokov\u00fdch sazb\u00e1ch utlumuje (zdra\u017een\u00ed \u00fav\u011br\u016f, hor\u0161\u00ed dostupnost pen\u011bz pro firmy), na druhou stranu ale vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed sazby zatraktiv\u0148uj\u00ed m\u011bnu v\u00a0o\u010d\u00edch investor\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed ji nakupuj\u00ed. Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed inflace a n\u00e1sledn\u011b r\u016fst \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb pak vede k\u00a0posilov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bny.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/d3fy651gv2fhd3.cloudfront.net\/embed\/?s=ukrpcjyr&amp;v=202205180644V20220312&amp;d1=19970526&amp;h=300&amp;w=600\" width=\"600\" height=\"300\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><br \/>\nzdroj: <a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/united-kingdom\/inflation-cpi\">tradingeconomics.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Ne v\u017edy v\u0161ak mus\u00ed v\u00e9st vysok\u00e1 inflace k\u00a0vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm sazb\u00e1m. V\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee se p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00e1 inflace objev\u00ed v\u00a0ekonomice s\u00a0nezdrav\u00fdm r\u016fstem, m\u016f\u017ee n\u00e1sledovat recese, co\u017e k\u00a0rychl\u00e9mu r\u016fstu \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb nejsp\u00ed\u0161e nepovede. Vysok\u00e1 inflace a jej\u00ed r\u016fst tak nemus\u00ed poka\u017ed\u00e9 znamenat \u0161anci na posilov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bny, co\u017e by m\u011bli trade\u0159i br\u00e1t v\u00a0potaz.<\/p>\n<p>V\u011bt\u0161ina zem\u00ed publikuje informace o v\u00fdvoji inflace na m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed b\u00e1zi. V\u00fdjimkou je Austr\u00e1lie a Nov\u00fd Z\u00e9land, kde se data o inflaci publikuj\u00ed jednou za kvart\u00e1l, a pak Evropa, kde ECB vyhla\u0161uje data o inflaci v\u00a0euroz\u00f3n\u011b dvakr\u00e1t do m\u011bs\u00edce, na konci m\u011bs\u00edce jako p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00fd \u00fadaj a ve druh\u00e9\u00a0polovin\u011b m\u011bs\u00edce pak fin\u00e1ln\u00ed data.<\/p>\n<p>Krom\u011b CPI se \u010dasto vyhla\u0161uje tak\u00e9 j\u00e1drov\u00e1 inflace (Core CPI), co\u017e je index CPI o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00fd o nejvolatiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed polo\u017eky ve spot\u0159ebn\u00edm ko\u0161i, jako jsou potraviny a energie. Dal\u0161\u00edm ukazatelem inflace je pak v\u00fdrobn\u00ed inflace, resp. PPI (producer prices index), kter\u00e1 m\u011b\u0159\u00ed zm\u011bnu cen zbo\u017e\u00ed a slu\u017eeb, kter\u00e9 se prod\u00e1vaj\u00ed na velkoobchodn\u00edm trhu.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00a0USA je pak velmi pozorn\u011b sledov\u00e1n tak\u00e9 index PCE (personal consumption expenditures, v\u00fddaje na osobn\u00ed spot\u0159ebu), kter\u00fd ozna\u010duje m\u00edru implicitn\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed definovanou za ur\u010dit\u00e9 obdob\u00ed. Na rozd\u00edl od PCI, kter\u00fd vych\u00e1z\u00ed z\u00a0pevn\u011b dan\u00e9ho spot\u0159ebn\u00edho ko\u0161e, jen\u017e m\u016f\u017ee z\u016fstat beze zm\u011bny i n\u011bkolik let, PCE index vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 vzorec, kter\u00fd umo\u017e\u0148uje zohled\u0148ovat zm\u011bny v\u00a0chov\u00e1n\u00ed spot\u0159ebitel\u016f a zm\u011bny, kter\u00e9 se odehr\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00a0kr\u00e1tk\u00e9m \u010dasov\u00e9m obdob\u00ed. PCE bere v\u00a0\u00favahu mnohem \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed spektrum zbo\u017e\u00ed a slu\u017eeb a je m\u00e9n\u011b volatiln\u00ed. Od roku 2012 je pr\u00e1v\u011b PCE index hlavn\u00edm ukazatelem inflace, z\u00a0n\u011bho\u017e ve sv\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00edch vych\u00e1z\u00ed americk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka.<\/p>\n<p>Trade\u0159i by si m\u011bli d\u00e1vat p\u0159i vyhla\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fadaj\u016f o inflaci pozor a do obchod\u016f p\u0159ed vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm dat o inflaci rad\u011bji nevstupovat. M\u011bnov\u00e9 trhy mohou t\u011bsn\u011b po vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed za\u017e\u00edvat zv\u00fd\u0161enou volatilitu a rozta\u017een\u00ed spread\u016f, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt na obchodn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dty velmi negativn\u00ed vliv. D\u011bje se to zejm\u00e9na v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy se zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e1 data hodn\u011b li\u0161\u00ed od o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed analytik\u016f.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ve druh\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti na\u0161eho seri\u00e1lu o d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch datech v\u00a0ekonomick\u00e9m kalend\u00e1\u0159i a jejich vlivu na obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed na forexu si nap\u00ed\u0161eme o inflaci. Inflace je dnes hodn\u011b \u017ehav\u00fdm t\u00e9matem a trade\u0159i by m\u011bli v\u011bd\u011bt, na co si d\u00e1t pozor, kdy\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e1 zem\u011b vyhla\u0161uje \u00fadaje o inflaci. Pod pojmem inflace si p\u0159edstavujeme r\u016fst cenov\u00e9 hladiny a sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed kupn\u00ed [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":526817,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88909],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-526755","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rady-a-tipy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.1 (Yoast SEO v24.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ekonomick\u00fd kalend\u00e1\u0159 \u2013 inflace m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zr\u00e1dn\u00e1 | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/ekonomicky-kalendar-inflace-muze-byt-zradna\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ekonomick\u00fd kalend\u00e1\u0159 \u2013 inflace m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zr\u00e1dn\u00e1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ve druh\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti na\u0161eho seri\u00e1lu o d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch datech v\u00a0ekonomick\u00e9m kalend\u00e1\u0159i a jejich vlivu na obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed na forexu si nap\u00ed\u0161eme o inflaci. Inflace je dnes hodn\u011b \u017ehav\u00fdm t\u00e9matem a trade\u0159i by m\u011bli v\u011bd\u011bt, na co si d\u00e1t pozor, kdy\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e1 zem\u011b vyhla\u0161uje \u00fadaje o inflaci. Pod pojmem inflace si p\u0159edstavujeme r\u016fst cenov\u00e9 hladiny a sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed kupn\u00ed [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/ekonomicky-kalendar-inflace-muze-byt-zradna\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"FTMO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/ftmocom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-05-20T04:50:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-05-20T13:12:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Economic-calendar-inflation-can-be-tricky-CZ.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"628\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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Inflace je dnes hodn\u011b \u017ehav\u00fdm t\u00e9matem a trade\u0159i by m\u011bli v\u011bd\u011bt, na co si d\u00e1t pozor, kdy\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e1 zem\u011b vyhla\u0161uje \u00fadaje o inflaci. Pod pojmem inflace si p\u0159edstavujeme r\u016fst cenov\u00e9 hladiny a sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed kupn\u00ed [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/ekonomicky-kalendar-inflace-muze-byt-zradna\/","og_site_name":"FTMO","article_publisher":"https:\/\/facebook.com\/ftmocom\/","article_published_time":"2022-05-20T04:50:45+00:00","article_modified_time":"2022-05-20T13:12:32+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":628,"url":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Economic-calendar-inflation-can-be-tricky-CZ.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/ekonomicky-kalendar-inflace-muze-byt-zradna\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/ekonomicky-kalendar-inflace-muze-byt-zradna\/"},"author":{"name":"Daniel Kuchta","@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/e19858442faa4d101a51094cfe2317bf"},"headline":"Ekonomick\u00fd kalend\u00e1\u0159 \u2013 inflace m\u016f\u017ee 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