{"id":526103,"date":"2022-05-13T13:50:17","date_gmt":"2022-05-13T11:50:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=526103"},"modified":"2023-06-22T12:42:10","modified_gmt":"2023-06-22T10:42:10","slug":"technicka-analyza-historie-svickovych-grafu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/technicka-analyza-historie-svickovych-grafu\/","title":{"rendered":"Technick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza \u2013 historie sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00fdch graf\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e9 grafy jsou dnes pro v\u011bt\u0161inu trader\u016f \u00faplnou samoz\u0159ejmost\u00ed. Mnoz\u00ed v\u0161ak asi ani netu\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee historie sv\u00ed\u010dek sah\u00e1 a\u017e do 18. stolet\u00ed, kdy jeden obchodn\u00edk s r\u00fd\u017e\u00ed na burze v japonsk\u00e9 \u00d3sace p\u0159i\u0161el na to, jak d\u00edky sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00fdm graf\u016fm p\u0159edpov\u00eddat pohyby cen t\u00e9to komodity.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e9 grafy jsou dnes jedn\u00edm z nejroz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u011bj\u0161\u00edch pracovn\u00edch n\u00e1stroj\u016f technick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy. Je\u0161t\u011b relativn\u011b ned\u00e1vno v\u0161ak sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e9 grafy nebyly v technick\u00e9 anal\u00fdze tak roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 jako dnes. Na \u201ez\u00e1padn\u00edch trz\u00edch\u201c se sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e9 grafy v\u00fdrazn\u011bji prosadily a\u017e na za\u010d\u00e1tku devades\u00e1t\u00fdch let dvac\u00e1t\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed, kdy\u017e Steve Nison vydal knihy \u201eJapanese Candlestick Charting Techiques\u201c a \u201eBeyond Candlesticks\u201c v nich\u017e koncept sv\u00ed\u010dek a sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00fdch pattern\u016f p\u0159edstavil a popsal.<\/p>\n<p>Do t\u00e9 doby se pou\u017e\u00edvaly v\u00a0technick\u00e9 anal\u00fdze sloupcov\u00e9 grafy. Ty obchodn\u00edk\u016fm poskytovaly informace t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se OHLC (open, high, low, close), a proto byly mezi obchodn\u00edky obl\u00edben\u00e9. Na rozd\u00edl od sloupcov\u00fdch graf\u016f v\u0161ak sv\u00ed\u010dky umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00fdch formac\u00ed (pattern\u016f), pomoc\u00ed nich\u017e mohou obchodn\u00edci p\u0159edv\u00eddat budouc\u00ed pohyby cen investi\u010dn\u00edch n\u00e1stroj\u016f. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tato schopnost p\u0159edv\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed pohyb\u016f cen proslavila u\u017e v\u00a018. stolet\u00ed jednoho japonsk\u00e9ho obchodn\u00edka s\u00a0r\u00fd\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00fd je dnes pova\u017eov\u00e1n za autora sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00fdch graf\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Jeho jm\u00e9no je Munehisa Homma, ale je zn\u00e1m tak\u00e9 pod jm\u00e9nem Sokyu Honma (je to d\u00e1no slo\u017eitost\u00ed p\u0159ekladu z japon\u0161tiny do angli\u010dtiny, proto\u017ee stejn\u00e9 japonsk\u00e9 znaky lze p\u0159elo\u017eit jako Munehisa nebo Sokyu, podobn\u011b jako p\u0159\u00edjmen\u00ed lze p\u0159elo\u017eit jako Homma nebo Honma). Byl to obchodn\u00edk s r\u00fd\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00fd p\u016fsobil na Dojima Rise Exchange v \u00d3sace. R\u00fd\u017ee byla v t\u00e9 dob\u011b nejcenn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed komoditou v Japonsku a burza v \u00d3sace byla centrem obchodu s touto komoditou. Byla zalo\u017eena v roce 1697 a v roce 1710 se zde za\u010daly vyd\u00e1vat tzv. r\u00fd\u017eov\u00e9 kup\u00f3ny (rice coupons), kter\u00e9 dnes m\u016f\u017eeme pova\u017eovat za prvn\u00ed futures kontrakty, s nimi\u017e se aktivn\u011b obchodovalo.<\/p>\n<p>Na t\u00e9to burze pak ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b 18. stolet\u00ed za\u010dal obchodovat tak\u00e9 Munehisa Homma, kter\u00fd poch\u00e1zel z velmi bohat\u00e9 rodiny obchodn\u00edk\u016f s r\u00fd\u017e\u00ed. D\u00edky tomu m\u011bl Homma velmi dobr\u00e9 informace o obchodu s touto komoditou, kter\u00e9 sahaly a\u017e n\u011bkolik des\u00edtek let do historie. Na z\u00e1klad\u011b dlouholet\u00fdch pohyb\u016f cen r\u00fd\u017ee a jejich anal\u00fdzy za\u010dal Homma studovat psychologickou str\u00e1nku obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed a chov\u00e1n\u00ed investor\u016f na burze.\u00a0 K velk\u00e9mu mno\u017estv\u00ed informac\u00ed o cen\u00e1ch a d\u011bn\u00ed na trhu, v\u010detn\u011b studia po\u010das\u00ed a sez\u00f3nn\u00edch vliv\u016f, Homma vypracoval tak\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed informa\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m. V ur\u010den\u00fdch \u010dasech um\u00edstil n\u011bkolik lid\u00ed na st\u0159echy budov v ur\u010dit\u00fdch rozestupech, kte\u0159\u00ed pak pos\u00edlali sign\u00e1ly pomoc\u00ed vlajek. Bylo jich tolik, \u017ee pokryli celou vzd\u00e1lenost mezi m\u011bsty \u00d3saka a Sakata, kter\u00e9 bylo hlavn\u00edm distribu\u010dn\u00edm centrem v obchodu s r\u00fd\u017e\u00ed a Homma odtud poch\u00e1zel.<\/p>\n<p>Homma na z\u00e1klad\u011b sv\u00fdch studi\u00ed vypracoval strategii, kter\u00e1 obsahovala soubor pravidel a opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 je pot\u0159eba podniknout na z\u00e1klad\u011b r\u016fzn\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f na trhu. P\u016fvodn\u00ed metoda sice sv\u00ed\u010dky neobsahovala, ale pozd\u011bji Homma vytvo\u0159il <a href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/nejznamejsi-svickove-formace\/\">sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e9 grafy, na nich\u017e pou\u017e\u00edval sv\u00e9 patterny<\/a>. Pr\u00e1v\u011b sv\u00ed\u010dky umo\u017enily Hommovi ch\u00e1pat d\u011bn\u00ed na trhu, proto\u017ee t\u011blo sv\u00ed\u010dky, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edstavuje \u201epodstatu cenov\u00fdch pohyb\u016f\u201c, jeho barva a velikost, d\u00e1v\u00e1 obchodn\u00edkovi jasnou p\u0159edstavu o tom, jestli na trhu dominuj\u00ed prodejci, nebo kupuj\u00edc\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Homma nazval svou techniku Sakata Five podle jm\u00e9na m\u011bsta, odkud poch\u00e1zel a p\u011bti z\u00e1kladn\u00edch cenov\u00fdch pattern\u016f, kter\u00e9 pou\u017e\u00edval k\u00a0p\u0159edv\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed pohyb\u016f cen. Tyto patterny vych\u00e1zely z\u00a0toho, \u017ee d\u011bn\u00ed na trhu se neust\u00e1le opakuje v\u00a0ur\u010dit\u00fdch vzorech, kter\u00e9 je pak mo\u017en\u00e9 vyu\u017e\u00edt v\u00a0p\u0159edv\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed cenov\u00fdch pohyb\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00edky sv\u00e9mu p\u0159\u00edstupu se stal jedn\u00edm z\u00a0nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00edch obchodn\u00edk\u016f na burze a vyd\u011blal pen\u00edze, kter\u00e9 by dnes m\u011bly hodnotu a\u017e 10 miliard dolar\u016f. Dokonce se tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee dok\u00e1zal ud\u011blat 100 ziskov\u00fdch obchod\u016f v\u00a0\u0159ad\u011b. Jeho \u00fasp\u011bchy mu pozd\u011bji vynesly a\u017e pov\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed do hodnosti \u010destn\u00e9ho samuraje a stal se finan\u010dn\u00edm poradcem japonsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n<p>Jeho p\u0159\u00edstup byl nejprve tajn\u00fd, ale v\u00a0roce 1755 vydal knihu Font\u00e1na zlata \u2013 z\u00e1znam t\u0159\u00ed opic o pen\u011bz\u00edch, kter\u00e1 je dnes pova\u017eov\u00e1na za prvn\u00ed knihu o psychologii obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed. Homma u\u017e v\u00a0t\u00e9 dob\u011b pochopil d\u016fle\u017eitost psychologick\u00e9ho aspektu obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00fd se pak odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed v\u00a0cenov\u00fdch pohybech. Jeho post\u0159ehy a poznatky se staly z\u00e1kladem japonsk\u00e9 filosofie investov\u00e1n\u00ed. B\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trh ozna\u010dil jako Jin a medv\u011bd\u00ed trh jako Jang a podrobn\u011b popsal jejich interakci a st\u0159\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed. I dnes plat\u00ed jeho r\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee \u201ekdy\u017e jsou v\u0161ichni medv\u011bd\u00ed, existuje d\u016fvod k r\u016fstu cen\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Kolem osoby a obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed Munehisy Hommy se v\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu let vytvo\u0159ilo mnoho legend a m\u00fdt\u016f. Jeho z\u00e1kladn\u00ed odkaz ve form\u011b sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00fdch graf\u016f a pattern\u016f, stejn\u011b jako p\u0159\u00edstup k\u00a0psychologick\u00e9 str\u00e1nce obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed, v\u0161ak pom\u00e1h\u00e1 trader\u016fm po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b dodnes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e9 grafy jsou dnes pro v\u011bt\u0161inu trader\u016f \u00faplnou samoz\u0159ejmost\u00ed. Mnoz\u00ed v\u0161ak asi ani netu\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee historie sv\u00ed\u010dek sah\u00e1 a\u017e do 18. stolet\u00ed, kdy jeden obchodn\u00edk s r\u00fd\u017e\u00ed na burze v japonsk\u00e9 \u00d3sace p\u0159i\u0161el na to, jak d\u00edky sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00fdm graf\u016fm p\u0159edpov\u00eddat pohyby cen t\u00e9to komodity. Sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e9 grafy jsou dnes jedn\u00edm z nejroz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u011bj\u0161\u00edch pracovn\u00edch n\u00e1stroj\u016f technick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":526233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88911],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-526103","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-obchodni-systemy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.2 (Yoast SEO v25.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Technick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza \u2013 historie sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00fdch graf\u016f | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/technicka-analyza-historie-svickovych-grafu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Technick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza \u2013 historie sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00fdch graf\u016f\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e9 grafy jsou dnes pro v\u011bt\u0161inu trader\u016f \u00faplnou samoz\u0159ejmost\u00ed. Mnoz\u00ed v\u0161ak asi ani netu\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee historie sv\u00ed\u010dek sah\u00e1 a\u017e do 18. stolet\u00ed, kdy jeden obchodn\u00edk s r\u00fd\u017e\u00ed na burze v japonsk\u00e9 \u00d3sace p\u0159i\u0161el na to, jak d\u00edky sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00fdm graf\u016fm p\u0159edpov\u00eddat pohyby cen t\u00e9to komodity. Sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e9 grafy jsou dnes jedn\u00edm z nejroz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u011bj\u0161\u00edch pracovn\u00edch n\u00e1stroj\u016f technick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy. 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Mnoz\u00ed v\u0161ak asi ani netu\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee historie sv\u00ed\u010dek sah\u00e1 a\u017e do 18. stolet\u00ed, kdy jeden obchodn\u00edk s r\u00fd\u017e\u00ed na burze v japonsk\u00e9 \u00d3sace p\u0159i\u0161el na to, jak d\u00edky sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00fdm graf\u016fm p\u0159edpov\u00eddat pohyby cen t\u00e9to komodity. Sv\u00ed\u010dkov\u00e9 grafy jsou dnes jedn\u00edm z nejroz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u011bj\u0161\u00edch pracovn\u00edch n\u00e1stroj\u016f technick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy. 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