{"id":525649,"date":"2022-05-06T13:00:03","date_gmt":"2022-05-06T11:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=525649"},"modified":"2022-05-20T14:07:52","modified_gmt":"2022-05-20T12:07:52","slug":"ekonomicky-kalendar-u-nfp-si-davejte-pozor-na-volatilitu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/ekonomicky-kalendar-u-nfp-si-davejte-pozor-na-volatilitu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomick\u00fd kalend\u00e1\u0159 \u2013 u NFP si d\u00e1vejte pozor na volatilitu"},"content":{"rendered":"
Trade\u0159i na forexu se p\u0159i hled\u00e1n\u00ed sign\u00e1l\u016f ke vstupu do trhu \u0159\u00edd\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inou technickou anal\u00fdzou a studiem graf\u016f. Fundamenty v\u011bt\u0161ina trader\u016f v\u016fbec nesleduje a mnoz\u00ed se jim vysloven\u011b vyh\u00fdbaj\u00ed. Sledov\u00e1n\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v v\u00a0ekonomick\u00e9m kalend\u00e1\u0159i v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pro tradery velmi u\u017eite\u010dn\u00fdm n\u00e1strojem.<\/em><\/p>\n Pravideln\u00e9 sledov\u00e1n\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9ho kalend\u00e1\u0159e roz\u0161i\u0159uje mo\u017enosti trader\u016f orientovat se v\u00a0d\u011bn\u00ed na trhu a m\u016f\u017ee trader\u016fm pomoci v\u00a0pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed vstup\u016f do obchod\u016f. Kdy\u017e trade\u0159i v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee na trh m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 informace, kter\u00e1 m\u016f\u017ee zam\u00e1vat s\u00a0cenami aktiv a kurzy m\u011bnov\u00fdch p\u00e1r\u016f, je pro n\u011b jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed p\u0159izp\u016fsobit sv\u016fj styl a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b se obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fapln\u011b vyhnout.<\/p>\n Dobr\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem u\u017eite\u010dnosti sledov\u00e1n\u00ed kalend\u00e1\u0159e byl prvn\u00ed kv\u011btnov\u00fd t\u00fdden roku 2022, kdy se na trhu objevilo n\u011bkolik velmi d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch makroekonomick\u00fdch dat a o \u00farokov\u00fdch sazb\u00e1ch rozhodovaly t\u0159i centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky. To se samoz\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011b projevilo na volatilit\u011b na trhu, na n\u011bm\u017e se dalo hodn\u011b vyd\u011blat, ale tak\u00e9 hodn\u011b prod\u011blat.<\/p>\n I kdy\u017e je kalend\u00e1\u0159 \u010dasto nabit\u00fd zpr\u00e1vami, ne v\u0161echny pro n\u00e1s mus\u00ed b\u00fdt d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, a ne v\u0161echny maj\u00ed na d\u011bn\u00ed na trz\u00edch stejn\u00fd dopad. \u010casto m\u00e1me mo\u017enost si zpr\u00e1vy filtrovat a vyb\u00edrat si pouze zpr\u00e1vy t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se vybran\u00e9 m\u011bny, resp. zem\u011b. V\u00a0na\u0161em kalend\u00e1\u0159i na webu FTMO m\u00e1me vyzna\u010den\u00e9 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy, u nich\u017e plat\u00ed omezen\u00ed obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed (v\u00edce ZDE<\/a>), a na kter\u00e9 by si obchodn\u00edci ur\u010dit\u011b m\u011bli d\u00e1t pozor. Jejich vliv na danou m\u011bnu, nebo investi\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1stroj p\u0159i zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9 hodnoty m\u016f\u017ee na trhu vyvolat velkou kr\u00e1tkodobou volatilitu a \u010dasto tak\u00e9 doch\u00e1z\u00ed k\u00a0rozta\u017een\u00ed spread\u016f. To m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st ke zbyte\u010dn\u011b velk\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m i v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee maj\u00ed trade\u0159i nastaven\u00fd rozumn\u00fd SL.<\/p>\n Mezi takov\u00e9 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy pat\u0159\u00ed data t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se trhu pr\u00e1ce, v\u00fdvoje inflace nebo HDP, indexy n\u00e1kupn\u00edch mana\u017eer\u016f, obchodn\u00ed bilance, spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00e1 d\u016fv\u011bra, maloobchodn\u00ed tr\u017eby a v neposledn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed centr\u00e1ln\u00edch bank o monet\u00e1rn\u00ed politice a nastaven\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb.<\/p>\n V\u0161echna tato d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 data, jejich v\u00fdznam a vliv na trhy si detailn\u011bji pop\u00ed\u0161eme v\u00a0s\u00e9rii \u010dl\u00e1nk\u016f, kterou dnes startujeme o tzv. NFP reportu, co\u017e je zpr\u00e1va o zam\u011bstnanosti mimo zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fd sektor v\u00a0USA.<\/p>\n Zm\u011bna zam\u011bstnanosti mimo zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fd sektor, v\u0161eobecn\u011b ozna\u010dovan\u00e1 jako Nonfarm Payrolls, je jedn\u00edm z\u00a0ned\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch \u00fadaj\u016f v\u00a0ekonomick\u00e9m kalend\u00e1\u0159i. Tato zpr\u00e1va je publikov\u00e1na v\u017edy prvn\u00ed p\u00e1tek v\u00a0m\u011bs\u00edci a ukazuje na zm\u011bnu v\u00a0po\u010dtu zam\u011bstnan\u00fdch osob v\u00a0p\u0159edch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edci s\u00a0v\u00fdjimkou zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9ho sektoru.<\/p>\n Tento report je publikov\u00e1n v USA sou\u010dasn\u011b s jin\u00fdmi daty z trhu pr\u00e1ce, o nich\u017e si v\u00edce nap\u00ed\u0161eme v n\u011bkter\u00e9 z p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed seri\u00e1lu. \u00dadaje zve\u0159ej\u0148uje Statistick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad p\u0159i ministerstvu pr\u00e1ce (Bureau of Labor Statistics), kter\u00fd v r\u00e1mci programu Current Employment Statistics (CES) prov\u00e1d\u00ed pr\u016fzkum v r\u00e1mci p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 141 000 firem a vl\u00e1dn\u00edch agentur reprezentuj\u00edc\u00edch asi 486 000 samostatn\u00fdch pracovi\u0161\u0165. Poskytuje tak podrobn\u00e9 \u00fadaje o zam\u011bstnanosti pracovn\u00ed dob\u011b a v\u00fdd\u011blc\u00edch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f mimo zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fd sektor.<\/p>\nNejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy<\/h2>\n
Zm\u011bna zam\u011bstnanosti mimo zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed<\/h2>\n