{"id":407513,"date":"2021-06-09T10:40:17","date_gmt":"2021-06-09T08:40:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/?p=407513"},"modified":"2021-08-09T15:18:18","modified_gmt":"2021-08-09T13:18:18","slug":"risk-on-a-risk-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/risk-on-a-risk-off\/","title":{"rendered":"Co znamen\u00e1 Risk-on a Risk-Off?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Risk-on a risk-off jsou pojmy, kter\u00e9 lze za\u0159adit do fundament\u00e1ln\u00ed anal\u00fdzy a odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed sentiment obchodn\u00edk\u016f na trhu. Co p\u0159esn\u011b znamenaj\u00ed a jak je m\u016f\u017eete vyu\u017e\u00edt p\u0159i obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed?<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Risk-on vs Risk-off<\/h2>\n<p>Risk-on a risk-off jsou zjednodu\u0161en\u011b \u0159e\u010deno takov\u00e9 tr\u017en\u00ed n\u00e1lady, kdy obchodn\u00edci a investo\u0159i bu\u010f riskuj\u00ed, nebo naopak vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed konzervativn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postoj na finan\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud sledujete zahrani\u010dn\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy, setk\u00e1v\u00e1te se s pojmy risk-on a risk-off\u00a0 ur\u010dit\u011b \u010dasto.<\/p>\n<p>Spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 pochopen\u00ed V\u00e1m m\u016f\u017ee zna\u010dn\u011b pomoci nejen p\u0159i samotn\u00e9m obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed, ale i p\u0159i v\u00fdb\u011bru instrumentu.<\/p>\n<h3>Risk-on<\/h3>\n<p>Pokud se budeme bavit o prost\u0159ed\u00ed risk-on, \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edci trhu maj\u00ed optimistick\u00fd pocit z ekonomiky. To zjednodu\u0161en\u011b znamen\u00e1, \u017ee nakupuj\u00ed rizikov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed aktiva.<\/p>\n<p>Jedn\u00e1 se o akcie, vysoce v\u00fdnosn\u00e9 dluhopisy nebo m\u011bny jako AUD, NZD, CAD (z\u00e1stupci majors)\u00a0 nebo NOK, ZAR, TRY (z\u00e1stupci exotics).<\/p>\n<p>Z komodit se jedn\u00e1 o ropu nebo m\u011b\u010f.<\/p>\n<h3>Risk-off<\/h3>\n<p>Pokud jsou \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edci trhu ohledn\u011b ekonomiky pesimisti\u010dt\u00ed nebo o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed nejistotu na trhu s negativn\u00edm dopadem, p\u0159ech\u00e1zej\u00ed od rizikov\u00fdch aktiv k takzvan\u00fdm safe havens. Nej\u010dast\u011bji p\u0159ekl\u00e1d\u00e1no jako bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstavy.<\/p>\n<p>Typick\u00fdmi risk-off aktivy jsou americk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed dluhopisy nebo n\u011bmeck\u00e9 dluhopisy.<\/p>\n<p>Pro forexov\u00e9 obchodn\u00edky je to japonsk\u00fd jen (JPY) a \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00fd frank (CHF), a to z d\u016fvodu tzv. carry trades.<\/p>\n<p>Carry trade zjednodu\u0161en\u011b znamen\u00e1 p\u016fj\u010dit si v bezpe\u010dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edstavu za n\u00edzkou \u00farokovou sazbu a pot\u00e9 koupit vysoce v\u00fdnosn\u00e9 (riskantn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed) aktivum na jin\u00fdch trz\u00edch.<\/p>\n<p>Pro\u010d jsou japonsk\u00fd jen a \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00fd frank pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstavy?<\/p>\n<p>Proto\u017ee poch\u00e1zej\u00ed ze zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed aktiv v ciz\u00ed m\u011bn\u011b. Aktiva mohou prodat a sn\u00ed\u017eit riziko.<\/p>\n<p>Americk\u00fd dolar je tak\u00e9 pova\u017eov\u00e1n za bezpe\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav.<\/p>\n<p>U Americk\u00e9ho dolaru je d\u016fvod mnohem jednodu\u0161\u00ed. B\u011bhem risk-off sentimentu obchodn\u00edci opou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed sv\u00e9 pozice. Je jedno jestli jde o akcie nebo jin\u00e1 rizikov\u00e1 aktiva a pen\u00edze se vrac\u00ed zp\u011bt do americk\u00fdch dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Na komoditn\u00edm trhu je za bezpe\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav pova\u017eov\u00e1no zlato.<\/p>\n<p>Zde je rekapitulace n\u00e1stroj\u016f a sm\u011br\u016f, kter\u00e9 byste m\u011bli zvolit v r\u016fzn\u00fdch prost\u0159ed\u00edch.<\/p>\n<h3>Trading b\u011bhem risk on<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Long<\/strong> &#8211; akcie, komoditn\u00ed m\u011bny (AUD, NZD, CAD), exotics, ropa<\/p>\n<p><strong>Short<\/strong> &#8211; dluhopisy, USD, JPY, CHF<\/p>\n<h3>Trading b\u011bhem risk-off<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Long<\/strong> &#8211; U.S. dluhopisy, n\u011bmeck\u00e9 dluhopisy, USD, JPY, CHF, zlato<\/p>\n<p><strong>Short<\/strong> &#8211; akcie, komodity, nekomoditn\u00ed m\u011bny<\/p>\n<h3>P\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed risk-on and risk-off<\/h3>\n<p>Jedn\u00edm ze skv\u011bl\u00fdch graf\u016f pro predikci jsou VIX a Dollar index.<\/p>\n<p>VIX sleduje v\u00fdkonnost S&amp;P 500, co\u017e je nejobl\u00edben\u011bj\u0161\u00ed akciov\u00fd index.<\/p>\n<p>VIX je negativn\u011b korelov\u00e1n s S&amp;P 500, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee pokud je VIX naho\u0159e, S&amp;P 500 je dole.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud je VIX naho\u0159e, jedn\u00e1 se sp\u00ed\u0161e o risk-off sentiment a naopak.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Screenshot-2021-04-07-at-15.01.12.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-401426\" src=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Screenshot-2021-04-07-at-15.01.12.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"3392\" height=\"1848\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Dollar index je dal\u0161\u00edm skv\u011bl\u00fdm indik\u00e1torem sentimentu, proto\u017ee sleduje v\u00fdkon v\u0161ech hlavn\u00edch m\u011bn.<\/p>\n<p>Kdy\u017e dolar roste, hled\u00e1me risk-off sentiment, kdy\u017e dolar kles\u00e1, hled\u00e1me risk-on sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>Je to jednodu\u0161e proto, \u017ee v\u0161echny akcie a dal\u0161\u00ed rizikov\u00e1 aktiva jsou p\u0159i ukon\u010den\u00ed pozic transformov\u00e1ny zp\u011bt na dolary.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Screenshot-2021-04-07-at-15.05.28.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-401429\" src=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Screenshot-2021-04-07-at-15.05.28.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2938\" height=\"1732\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Risk-on a risk-off jsou pojmy, kter\u00e9 lze za\u0159adit do fundament\u00e1ln\u00ed anal\u00fdzy a odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed sentiment obchodn\u00edk\u016f na trhu. Co p\u0159esn\u011b znamenaj\u00ed a jak je m\u016f\u017eete vyu\u017e\u00edt p\u0159i obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed? Risk-on vs Risk-off Risk-on a risk-off jsou zjednodu\u0161en\u011b \u0159e\u010deno takov\u00e9 tr\u017en\u00ed n\u00e1lady, kdy obchodn\u00edci a investo\u0159i bu\u010f riskuj\u00ed, nebo naopak vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed konzervativn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postoj na finan\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch. Pokud sledujete [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":404972,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88909],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-407513","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-rady-a-tipy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.1 (Yoast SEO v24.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Co znamen\u00e1 Risk-on a Risk-Off? | FTMO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/risk-on-a-risk-off\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Co znamen\u00e1 Risk-on a Risk-Off?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Risk-on a risk-off jsou pojmy, kter\u00e9 lze za\u0159adit do fundament\u00e1ln\u00ed anal\u00fdzy a odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed sentiment obchodn\u00edk\u016f na trhu. 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| FTMO","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/risk-on-a-risk-off\/","og_locale":"cs_CZ","og_type":"article","og_title":"Co znamen\u00e1 Risk-on a Risk-Off?","og_description":"Risk-on a risk-off jsou pojmy, kter\u00e9 lze za\u0159adit do fundament\u00e1ln\u00ed anal\u00fdzy a odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed sentiment obchodn\u00edk\u016f na trhu. Co p\u0159esn\u011b znamenaj\u00ed a jak je m\u016f\u017eete vyu\u017e\u00edt p\u0159i obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed? Risk-on vs Risk-off Risk-on a risk-off jsou zjednodu\u0161en\u011b \u0159e\u010deno takov\u00e9 tr\u017en\u00ed n\u00e1lady, kdy obchodn\u00edci a investo\u0159i bu\u010f riskuj\u00ed, nebo naopak vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed konzervativn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postoj na finan\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch. Pokud sledujete [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/risk-on-a-risk-off\/","og_site_name":"FTMO","article_publisher":"https:\/\/facebook.com\/ftmocom\/","article_published_time":"2021-06-09T08:40:17+00:00","article_modified_time":"2021-08-09T13:18:18+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2400,"height":1256,"url":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/CZ0904.jpeg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/risk-on-a-risk-off\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/risk-on-a-risk-off\/"},"author":{"name":"Daniel Kuchta","@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/#\/schema\/person\/e19858442faa4d101a51094cfe2317bf"},"headline":"Co znamen\u00e1 Risk-on a Risk-Off?","datePublished":"2021-06-09T08:40:17+00:00","dateModified":"2021-08-09T13:18:18+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/risk-on-a-risk-off\/"},"wordCount":602,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/risk-on-a-risk-off\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/CZ0904.jpeg","articleSection":["Rady a tipy"],"inLanguage":"cs"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/risk-on-a-risk-off\/","url":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/cs\/risk-on-a-risk-off\/","name":"Co znamen\u00e1 Risk-on a Risk-Off? 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