{"id":2791,"date":"2026-08-10T13:54:46","date_gmt":"2026-08-10T13:54:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/?p=2791"},"modified":"2026-08-10T13:54:49","modified_gmt":"2026-08-10T13:54:49","slug":"trading-week-ahead-will-cpi-dictate-next-rate-cuts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/blog\/trading-week-ahead-will-cpi-dictate-next-rate-cuts\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: Will CPI Dictate Next Rate Cuts?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

After recent labour market weakness fuelled interest rate cut speculation, traders are turning their focus to upcoming inflation figures. The <\/em>Reserve Bank of Australia<\/em><\/strong> is expected to hold interest rates unchanged, keeping central bank divergence in play. With critical <\/em>US CPI<\/em><\/strong> and <\/em>PPI data<\/em><\/strong> due, any unexpected inflation readings could trigger sharp repricing across currency pairs and risk assets.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udc49<\/strong> RBA Interest Rate Decision \u2013 06:30, Tuesday (CEST)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Expected to be unchanged as policymakers balance sticky domestic inflation against economic cooling. Hawkish commentary could support AUD pairs, while dovish guidance will likely pressure the Aussie dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udc49<\/strong> US CPI (MoM) \u2013 14:30, Wednesday (CEST)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forecast at 0.1% following last month\u2019s 0.4% contraction. A hotter print may trigger hawkish Fed repricing and bid up the dollar, whereas a softer reading could fuel risk-on sentiment and boost equities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udc49<\/strong> US PPI (MoM) \u2013 14:30, Thursday (CEST)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forecast at 0.2%, up from -0.3% MoM. An upside surprise would signal pipeline price pressures and lift Treasury yields, while a downside miss would reinforce the disinflation narrative and lift risk assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n \n\n

\n \n
\n 11\/08\/26\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 06:30<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"AUD\"\n <\/div>\n AUD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n RBA Interest Rate Decision<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 16:00<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Existing Home Sales<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n 12\/08\/26\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 08:00<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n EUR<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n German CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 14:30<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n 13\/08\/26\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 14:30<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n PPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Date<\/th>\n Time<\/th>\n Instrument<\/th>\n Event<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n
11\/08\/26<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 06:30<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"AUD\"\n <\/div>\n
AUD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n RBA Interest Rate Decision<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 16:00<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Existing Home Sales<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
12\/08\/26<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 08:00<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n
EUR<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n German CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 14:30<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
13\/08\/26<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 14:30<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n PPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n