{"id":2083,"date":"2026-03-09T13:49:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T13:49:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/?p=2083"},"modified":"2026-03-09T13:50:17","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T13:50:17","slug":"trading-week-ahead-geopolitical-volatility","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/blog\/trading-week-ahead-geopolitical-volatility\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: Geopolitical Volatility"},"content":{"rendered":"

Geopolitical tensions continue to drive volatility across <\/span><\/i>energy <\/i><\/b>and<\/span><\/i> safe-haven assets<\/i><\/b>. This week, the focus shifts to whether a cooling US economy can justify a dovish Fed stance. With <\/span><\/i>US<\/i><\/b> CPI<\/i><\/b>, <\/span><\/i>PCE <\/i><\/b>and <\/span><\/i>JOLTS data<\/i><\/b> ahead, traders are bracing for sharp moves across the dollar and the yield curve.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>US CPI<\/b><\/p>\n

Headline MoM inflation is forecast to cool to 0.2% from a previous 0.3% rise. A hot print forces hawkish repricing and crushes duration, while a surprise miss could lift equities and weigh on the dollar.<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>US Core PCE<\/b><\/p>\n

The Fed\u2019s primary inflation gauge is forecast unchanged at 0.4% MoM. Any deviation will reset the yield curve and USD pairs instantly. A hotter print bolsters the higher-for-longer narrative and caps risk-on sentiment.<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>JOLTS Job Openings<\/b><\/p>\n

Labour demand remains a wildcard, with vacancies forecast to rebound to 6.840M from 6.542M. A cooling figure shifts the equity bias toward recession risk, whereas a resilient print keeps the greenback supported.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n\n\n

\n \n
\n Tuesday, Mar. 10\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 00:50 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"JPY\"\n <\/div>\n JPY<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Final GDP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Wednesday, Mar. 11\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 08:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n EUR<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n German CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 01:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n US CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Thursday, Mar. 12\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 01:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Unemployment Claims<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Friday, Mar. 13\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 08:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n GBP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n UK GDP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 01:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"CAD\"\n <\/div>\n CAD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Unemployment Rate<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 01:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n US Core PCE<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 01:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n US GDP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 03:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n JOLTS Job Openings<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Date<\/th>\n Time<\/th>\n Instrument<\/th>\n Event<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n
Tuesday, Mar. 10<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 00:50 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"JPY\"\n <\/div>\n
JPY<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Final GDP<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Wednesday, Mar. 11<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 08:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n
EUR<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n German CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 01:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n US CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Thursday, Mar. 12<\/td>\n \n \n \n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Unemployment Claims<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Friday, Mar. 13<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 08:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n
GBP<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n UK GDP<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 01:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"CAD\"\n <\/div>\n
CAD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Unemployment Rate<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n US Core PCE<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n US GDP<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 03:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n JOLTS Job Openings<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n