{"id":2069,"date":"2026-03-02T12:46:52","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T12:46:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/?p=2069"},"modified":"2026-03-02T13:38:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T13:38:40","slug":"trading-week-ahead-middle-east-conflict-shocks-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/blog\/trading-week-ahead-middle-east-conflict-shocks-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: Middle East Conflict Shocks Markets"},"content":{"rendered":"

Markets enter the week under the shadow of escalating Middle East tensions<\/strong>. Joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran, and the risk of wider regional spillover, have sent oil sharply higher<\/strong> and pushed gold into rally mode<\/strong>, raising fresh concerns about renewed inflation pressure. Against this volatile backdrop, Eurozone CPI, US Retail Sales, and Nonfarm Payrolls will test whether economic fundamentals can offset geopolitical risk.<\/em><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/b>Eurozone CPI<\/strong><\/p>\n

Inflation is forecast to hold steady at 1.7%, unchanged from the previous reading. A surprise to the upside could lift EUR and push European yields higher. A softer print may strengthen expectations of further ECB easing and weigh on the euro.<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>US Retail Sales<\/b><\/p>\n

Consumer spending is expected to contract by 0.3% after a flat 0.0% print previously. A stronger-than-expected result could support USD and challenge rate cut bets. A deeper decline may pressure the dollar and boost risk sentiment.<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>Nonfarm Payrolls<\/b><\/p>\n

Job creation is forecast to slow sharply to 58,000 from 130,000 previously. A solid upside surprise would reinforce confidence in the US economy and lift yields. A weak report could trigger broad volatility across currencies, bonds, and equities.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n\n\n

\n \n
\n Monday, Mar. 2\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n ISM Manufacturing PMI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Tuesday, Mar. 3\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 11:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n EUR<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 11:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n GBP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Spring Forecast Statement<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 1:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n GBP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Annual Budget Release<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Wednesday, Mar. 4\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:15 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n ADP Non-Farm Employment Change<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n ISM Services PMI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Thursday, Mar. 5\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Unemployment Claims<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Friday, Mar. 6\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Nonfarm Payrolls<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Unemployment Rate<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Average Hourly Earnings<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 3:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Retail Sales<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Date<\/th>\n Time<\/th>\n Instrument<\/th>\n Event<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n
Monday, Mar. 2<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n ISM Manufacturing PMI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Tuesday, Mar. 3<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 11:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n
EUR<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n
GBP<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Spring Forecast Statement<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 1:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n
GBP<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Annual Budget Release<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Wednesday, Mar. 4<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:15 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n ADP Non-Farm Employment Change<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n ISM Services PMI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Thursday, Mar. 5<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Unemployment Claims<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Friday, Mar. 6<\/td>\n \n \n \n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Nonfarm Payrolls<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Unemployment Rate<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Average Hourly Earnings<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 3:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Retail Sales<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n