{"id":1923,"date":"2026-02-16T12:14:54","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T12:14:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/?p=1923"},"modified":"2026-02-18T08:31:57","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T08:31:57","slug":"trading-week-ahead-fomc-and-pce-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/blog\/trading-week-ahead-fomc-and-pce-in-focus\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: FOMC and PCE in Focus"},"content":{"rendered":"

With US markets closed on Monday for a holiday<\/strong>, attention turns to a packed week of economic data and earnings. A cooler-than-expected inflation reading has revived hopes for a Fed rate cut as early as June<\/strong>, while AI-related concerns continue to weigh on tech. This week\u2019s PCE inflation<\/strong> and GDP figures<\/strong> could provide a crucial update for policymakers and markets alike, alongside key corporate results from Walmart, Palo Alto Networks, and others.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>FOMC Meeting Minutes<\/b>
\n<\/b>On Wednesday evening, the minutes will offer a deeper look into the Fed\u2019s January decision. Any signs of disagreement or concern around the inflation outlook could move yields and shift dollar sentiment.<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>US GDP<\/b>
\n<\/b>Q4 growth is forecast to be revised down to 2.8% from the initial 4.4%. A downgrade may weigh on the soft-landing narrative and support risk assets. A stronger revision would likely boost the dollar.<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>Core PCE Price Index<\/b>
\n<\/b>The Fed\u2019s preferred inflation gauge is expected to rise 0.3%, up from 0.2% previously. A hotter print could challenge dovish expectations and lift the dollar. A soft number would support equities and cut pricing.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n\n\n

\n \n
\n Tuesday, Feb. 17\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n GBP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Claimant Count Change<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n EUR<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n German CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"CAD\"\n <\/div>\n CAD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Wednesday, Feb. 18\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n GBP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 8:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n FOMC Meeting Minutes<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Thursday, Feb. 19\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Pending Home Sales<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Friday, Feb. 20\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n GBP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Retail Sales<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 10:30 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n GBP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n PMI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"CAD\"\n <\/div>\n CAD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Retail Sales<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n GDP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Core PCE Price Index<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 3:45 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n PMI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n New Home Sales<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Date<\/th>\n Time<\/th>\n Instrument<\/th>\n Event<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n
Tuesday, Feb. 17<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n
GBP<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Claimant Count Change<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n
EUR<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n German CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"CAD\"\n <\/div>\n
CAD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Wednesday, Feb. 18<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n
GBP<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 8:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n FOMC Meeting Minutes<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Thursday, Feb. 19<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Pending Home Sales<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Friday, Feb. 20<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n
GBP<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Retail Sales<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 10:30 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n
GBP<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n PMI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"CAD\"\n <\/div>\n
CAD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Retail Sales<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n GDP<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Core PCE Price Index<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 3:45 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n PMI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n New Home Sales<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n