{"id":1844,"date":"2026-02-03T12:57:57","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T12:57:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/?p=1844"},"modified":"2026-02-18T08:37:45","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T08:37:45","slug":"trading-week-ahead-gold-breaks-momentum-after-a-parabolic-run","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/blog\/trading-week-ahead-gold-breaks-momentum-after-a-parabolic-run\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: Gold Breaks Momentum After a Parabolic Run"},"content":{"rendered":"

After the <\/span>Fed kept rates unchanged at 3.75%<\/b>, markets are turning their focus to JOLTS, ISM Services, and Nonfarm Payrolls, which will provide new insight into labour demand and economic momentum. Last week\u2019s <\/span>sharp pullback on gold<\/b> after its parabolic rally shows how fragile sentiment remains, and this week\u2019s reports could quickly reshape rate expectations and market direction.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>JOLTS Job Openings<\/b>
\n<\/b>December job openings are forecast to rise slightly to 7.23 million from 7.146 million. The Fed monitors this closely since elevated openings suggest wage pressure and inflation risk. A weaker print could support dovish expectations and weigh on the dollar.<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>ISM Services PMI<\/b>
\n<\/b>The index is expected to slip to 53.5 from the previous 54.4. With services making up over 77% of the US economy, a strong print may signal sticky inflation. A miss could boost equities and pressure the dollar.<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 <\/strong>Nonfarm Payrolls<\/b>
\n<\/b>January NFP is forecast at 60,000 after a weak 50,000 print in December. A strong report would reinforce the Fed\u2019s hawkish stance. A downside surprise may lift risk assets unless it is too soft and sparks recession fears.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n\n\n

\n \n
\n Tuesday, Feb. 3\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n JOLTS Job Openings (Dec)<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Wednesday, Feb. 4\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:15 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n ADP Non-Farm Employment Change<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n ISM Services PMI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Thursday, Feb. 5\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 1:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n GBP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Official Bank Rate<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:15 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n EUR<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Main Refinancing Rate<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Friday, Feb. 6\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"CAD\"\n <\/div>\n CAD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Unemployment Rate<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Nonfarm Payrolls<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Prelim UoM Consumer, Inflation Expectations<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Date<\/th>\n Time<\/th>\n Instrument<\/th>\n Event<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n
Tuesday, Feb. 3<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n JOLTS Job Openings (Dec)<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Wednesday, Feb. 4<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:15 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n ADP Non-Farm Employment Change<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n ISM Services PMI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Thursday, Feb. 5<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 1:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n
GBP<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Official Bank Rate<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:15 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n
EUR<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Main Refinancing Rate<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Friday, Feb. 6<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"CAD\"\n <\/div>\n
CAD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Unemployment Rate<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Nonfarm Payrolls<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Prelim UoM Consumer, Inflation Expectations<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n