{"id":1548,"date":"2026-01-05T11:49:48","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T11:49:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/?p=1548"},"modified":"2026-02-18T08:43:05","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T08:43:05","slug":"trading-week-ahead-new-year-new-narrative","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/blog\/trading-week-ahead-new-year-new-narrative\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: New Year, New Narrative?"},"content":{"rendered":"

A high-stakes week is shaping up as markets turn their attention to key US macro data. ISM Services PMI<\/strong>, JOLTS Job Openings<\/strong>, and Nonfarm Payrolls<\/strong> will offer crucial insight into the strength of the economy and the Fed\u2019s likely path. With soft-landing hopes in the balance, this week could set the tone for Q1 volatility.<\/em><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 ISM Services PMI<\/strong>
\nThe index is forecast to edge lower to 52.2 from 52.6, remaining in expansion territory. A stronger print could lift yields and the dollar. A downside miss would fuel dovish sentiment and support risk-on assets.<\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 JOLTS Job Openings<\/strong>
\nNovember openings are expected to ease slightly to 7.65 million from 7.67 million. Even a small decline reinforces the trend of softening labour demand, potentially pressuring the dollar and boosting rate-cut odds.<\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49 Nonfarm Payrolls<\/strong>
\nThe headline figure is projected at 57K, down from October\u2019s 64K. A weak report may encourage dovish repricing and lift equities. A stronger-than-expected print could delay cuts and support USD strength.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n \n
\n Monday, Jan. 5\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n ISM Manufacturing PMI, Prices<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Tuesday, Jan. 6\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n EUR<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n German CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Wednesday, Jan. 7\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 11:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n EUR<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:15 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n ADP Non-Farm Employment Change<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n ISM Services PMI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n JOLTS Job Openings<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Friday, Jan. 9\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Average Hourly Earnings<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Nonfarm Payrolls<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Unemployment Rate<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Prelim UoM Consumer, Inflation Expectations<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Date<\/th>\n Time<\/th>\n Instrument<\/th>\n Event<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n
Monday, Jan. 5<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n ISM Manufacturing PMI, Prices<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Tuesday, Jan. 6<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n
EUR<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n German CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Wednesday, Jan. 7<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 11:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n
EUR<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:15 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n ADP Non-Farm Employment Change<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n ISM Services PMI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n JOLTS Job Openings<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Friday, Jan. 9<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Average Hourly Earnings<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Nonfarm Payrolls<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Unemployment Rate<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 4:00 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Prelim UoM Consumer, Inflation Expectations<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n