{"id":1273,"date":"2025-11-10T12:02:56","date_gmt":"2025-11-10T12:02:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/global.ftmo.com\/au\/blog\/trading-week-ahead-us-shutdown-nears-possible-end\/"},"modified":"2026-02-18T08:51:35","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T08:51:35","slug":"trading-week-ahead-us-shutdown-nears-possible-end","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ftmo.com\/au\/blog\/trading-week-ahead-us-shutdown-nears-possible-end\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Week Ahead: US Shutdown Nears Possible End"},"content":{"rendered":"

The end of the\u00a0longest US shutdown<\/strong>\u00a0seems increasingly likely, but it\u2019s not confirmed yet. Market focus is shifting back to the data.\u00a0UK GDP<\/strong>,\u00a0US CPI<\/strong>\u00a0and\u00a0jobless claims<\/strong>\u00a0headline this week\u2019s key releases.<\/em><\/p>\n

\ud83d\udc49\u00a0<\/strong>Read the full outlook to stay ahead of the moves.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u2022 UK GDP<\/strong>
\nThursday\u2019s GDP release offers a crucial update on the health of the UK economy. Monthly growth is expected to slow to 0.0% from a previous 0.1%, signalling a potential loss of momentum. A stronger print could bolster BoE hawks and support the pound, while a contraction may raise recession concerns and weigh on GBP crosses.<\/p>\n

\u2022 US CPI<\/strong>
\nThe upcoming inflation report is this week\u2019s standout macro release. Headline CPI is forecast to slow slightly from 0.3% to 0.2%, signalling a possible cooling in inflation pressures. A softer\u2011than\u2011expected print may revive market expectations of Fed easing, pressuring the dollar and supporting risk assets. Conversely, a hotter reading would reinforce the \u201chigher for longer\u201d rate stance and likely benefit the greenback.<\/p>\n

\u2022 US Initial Jobless Claims<\/strong>
\nThe weekly labour market update will serve as a near\u2011term gauge of resilience. A rise in claims could signal cooling in the labour market, enhancing speculation of a dovish Fed shift and boosting risk sentiment. Conversely, persistently low claims would reinforce the Fed\u2019s current hawkish stance, supporting the dollar and pressuring risk assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n \n
\n Tuesday, Nov. 11\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n GBP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Claimant Count Change<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Wednesday, Nov. 12\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n EUR<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n German CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n
\n Thursday, Nov. 13\n <\/div>\n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n GBP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n GDP<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n Initial Jobless Claims<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n
\n
\n Time<\/span>\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Instrument<\/span>\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n USD<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n Event<\/span>\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n
Date<\/th>\n Time<\/th>\n Instrument<\/th>\n Event<\/th>\n <\/tr>\n <\/thead>\n
Tuesday, Nov. 11<\/td>\n \n \n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 8:00 AM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n
GBP<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Claimant Count Change<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Wednesday, Nov. 12<\/td>\n \n \n \n
\n
\n \"EUR\"\n <\/div>\n
EUR<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n German CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
Thursday, Nov. 13<\/td>\n \n \n \n
\n
\n \"GBP\"\n <\/div>\n
GBP<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n GDP<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n \n \n \n<\/svg>\n<\/span>\n 2:30 PM<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n Initial Jobless Claims<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n \n \n
\n
\n
\n \"USD\"\n <\/div>\n
USD<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/td>\n\n
\n CPI<\/span>\n <\/td>\n <\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n